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Basford Utd. vs Gainsborough

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Basford Utd. and Gainsborough finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Basford Utd.
30%
Draws
54%
Gainsborough
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gainsborough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gainsborough come out ahead of Basford Utd. on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Basford Utd. Clean Sheet 10%
Gainsborough Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basford Utd. Gainsborough
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.2 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Basford Utd. vs Gainsborough
1:1
Jan 11, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Basford Utd. vs Gainsborough
1:1
Sep 17, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Gainsborough vs Basford Utd.
0:3
Feb 17, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Gainsborough vs Basford Utd.
3:0
Sep 30, 2023 NPL Premier Division
Basford Utd. vs Gainsborough
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basford Utd. 34 / 100
Gainsborough 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basford Utd. Gainsborough

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gainsborough Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basford Utd. found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Gainsborough has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Basford Utd. has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Basford Utd. VS Gainsborough
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Basford Utd.

(Home)
05 Sept
Halesowen
3 : 1
Basford Utd.
29 Aug
Basford Utd.
0 : 1
Bedworth United
01 Aug
Heaton Stannington
1 : 1
Basford Utd.
28 Jul
Ilkeston
4 : 1
Basford Utd.
18 Jul
Basford Utd.
1 : 1
Gainsborough
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Gainsborough

(Away)
19 Sept
Leamington
1 : 1
Gainsborough
12 Sept
Gainsborough
0 : 2
Avro
05 Sept
Sherwood Colliery
2 : 4
Gainsborough
31 Aug
Gainsborough
0 : 3
Cleethorpes
28 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 2
Gainsborough
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