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Bashkimi vs Tikves

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2025/2026
Bashkimi Logo

Bashkimi

2 - 2
FT
Tikves Logo

Tikves

Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Alimi A.
46'
Sub
Murati A. In: Memeti R.
Out: Murati A.
54' Event
Sylla N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 1. MFL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Bashkimi
35%
Draws
32%
Tikves
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Tikves have won more games recently than Bashkimi.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular 1. MFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Bashkimi Clean Sheet 10%
Tikves Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bashkimi Tikves
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.28 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 1. MFL
Bashkimi vs Tikves
0:5
Apr 2, 2026 1. MFL
Bashkimi vs Tikves
2:2
Jan 16, 2026 Club Friendly
Bashkimi vs Tikves
2:0
Nov 23, 2025 1. MFL
Tikves vs Bashkimi
3:0
Aug 25, 2025 1. MFL
Bashkimi vs Tikves
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bashkimi Compare

Top Goalscorer Avornyo E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Tikves Compare

Top Goalscorer Sylla N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lawal T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bashkimi 29 / 100
Tikves 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bashkimi Tikves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bashkimi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Tikves let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Bashkimi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Bashkimi scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Bashkimi VS Tikves
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bashkimi

(Home)
18 Sept
Shkendija Tetovo
4 : 1
Bashkimi
12 Sept
Bashkimi
3 : 3
Vardar
09 Sept
BVK Konjare
0 : 5
Bashkimi
05 Sept
FK Skopje
1 : 2
Bashkimi
30 Aug
Bashkimi
1 : 2
Shkendija Haracine
Page 1 of 6

Tikves

(Away)
18 Sept
Sileks
0 : 0
Tikves
11 Sept
Tikves
2 : 2
Struga
04 Sept
Shkendija Tetovo
1 : 3
Tikves
31 Aug
Tikves
1 : 1
Vardar
21 Aug
FK Skopje
1 : 1
Tikves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vardar 33 26 5 2 80:21 83
2 Shkendija Tetovo 33 23 5 5 67:30 74
3 Struga 33 19 5 9 68:28 62
4 Sileks 33 16 5 12 59:36 53
5 Tikves 33 14 6 13 59:47 48
6 Arsimi 33 13 7 13 50:53 46
7 Bashkimi 33 11 9 13 40:54 42
8 Pelister 33 10 10 13 41:42 40
9 Brera Strumica 33 10 10 13 46:56 40
10 Makedonija GP 33 9 7 17 42:57 34
11 Rabotnicki 33 9 6 18 45:58 33
12 Shkupi 33 0 1 32 15:130 1
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL (Main)