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Bashley vs Dorchester

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Fogden W.
33' Event
Gwengwe S.
37' Event
Williams B.

AI Match Summary

Dorchester in this Club Friendly 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dorchester.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Bashley
30%
Draws
23%
Dorchester
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bashley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dorchester lately — more wins on the board than Bashley.
  • Model gives Bashley a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Bashley Clean Sheet 18%
Dorchester Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bashley Dorchester
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 8 9
Draws 2 10
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.32 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.82 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Bashley vs Dorchester
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bashley Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Dorchester Compare

Top Goalscorer Koszela O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fogden W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bashley 40 / 100
Dorchester 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bashley Dorchester

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bashley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Bashley's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Dorchester's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 33 matches.

Dorchester lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dorchester
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bashley

(Home)
22 Jul
Sholing
1 : 1
Bashley
17 Sept
Bashley
0 : 4
Mousehole
07 Sept
Bashley
2 : 1
Mousehole
23 Jul
Bashley
1 : 6
Dorchester
23 Sept
Cribbs
4 : 3
Bashley
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Dorchester

(Away)
25 Apr
Dorchester
0 : 4
Sholing
18 Apr
Hungerford
0 : 0
Dorchester
11 Apr
Dorchester
0 : 5
Gloucester City
06 Apr
Weymouth
0 : 0
Dorchester
03 Apr
Dorchester
2 : 3
Berkhamsted Town
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