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Basico Urraca vs Astur Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Basico Urraca
30%
Draws
12%
Astur
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Basico Urraca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Basico Urraca lately — more wins on the board than Astur.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Basico Urraca taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Basico Urraca Clean Sheet 19%
Astur Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basico Urraca Astur
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 6 5
Draws 12 4
Losses 16 23
Goals Scored 1.06 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.24 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs Astur
3:1
Oct 11, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Basico Urraca
3:2
Apr 26, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs Astur
0:0
Dec 6, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Basico Urraca
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basico Urraca 49 / 100
Astur 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basico Urraca Astur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basico Urraca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Astur's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Attacking prowess: Basico Urraca scored in 71% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Basico Urraca went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Basico Urraca VS Astur
0.88 Goals Scored 0.6
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.6
88% Over 1.5 60%
63% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Basico Urraca

(Home)
11 May
Basico Urraca
1 : 4
Praviano
04 May
Gijon B
1 : 1
Basico Urraca
26 Apr
CD Roces
0 : 2
Basico Urraca
17 Apr
Basico Urraca
1 : 1
Union Club Ceares
12 Apr
Lealtad
5 : 1
Basico Urraca
Page 1 of 7

Astur

(Away)
27 Sept
EI San Martin
2 : 2
Astur
20 Sept
Astur
0 : 1
Club Siero
13 Sept
CD Colunga
2 : 1
Astur
06 Sept
Astur
0 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
29 Oct
Astur
1 : 4
Valladolid
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Condal 38 26 8 4 67:20 86
2 Caudal Deportivo 38 25 9 4 68:18 84
3 Real Oviedo B 38 23 9 6 82:34 78
4 Tuilla 38 22 8 8 67:31 74
5 Covadonga 38 21 7 10 63:39 70
6 Llanes 38 17 13 8 61:51 64
7 Union Club Ceares 38 16 15 7 51:41 63
8 Praviano 38 14 11 13 47:46 53
9 Basico Urraca 38 12 14 12 50:47 50
10 Atletico de Lugones 38 13 10 15 45:49 49
11 CD Mosconia 38 11 14 13 37:45 47
12 Real Aviles B 38 11 13 14 46:53 46
13 Astur 38 11 13 14 39:52 46
14 Gijon Industrial 38 12 10 16 42:50 46
15 CD Roces 38 11 12 15 37:43 45
16 Andes CF 38 12 7 19 44:60 43
17 L Entregu CF 38 9 11 18 34:54 38
18 Lenense 38 8 5 25 38:72 29
19 Universidad Oviedo 38 5 6 27 30:78 21
20 Cudillero 38 2 3 33 10:75 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)