Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Basico Urraca vs CD Mosconia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Carrero S.
43' Event
Garcia C.
45' Event
Espina P.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 game between Basico Urraca and CD Mosconia finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Mosconia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Basico Urraca
30%
Draws
41%
CD Mosconia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Mosconia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • CD Mosconia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans CD Mosconia's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Basico Urraca Clean Sheet 23%
CD Mosconia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basico Urraca CD Mosconia
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 3 19
Draws 11 6
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs CD Mosconia
1:4
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs Basico Urraca
0:2
Feb 13, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs Basico Urraca
0:0
Oct 3, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs CD Mosconia
2:0
Feb 16, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs Basico Urraca
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basico Urraca Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrero S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

CD Mosconia Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gning E. H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basico Urraca 24 / 100
CD Mosconia 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basico Urraca CD Mosconia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Mosconia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Basico Urraca scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Basico Urraca went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

CD Mosconia let in goals in 46% of their last 35 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Mosconia
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Basico Urraca

(Home)
11 May
Basico Urraca
1 : 4
Praviano
04 May
Gijon B
1 : 1
Basico Urraca
26 Apr
CD Roces
0 : 2
Basico Urraca
17 Apr
Basico Urraca
1 : 1
Union Club Ceares
12 Apr
Lealtad
5 : 1
Basico Urraca
Page 1 of 6

CD Mosconia

(Away)
20 Sept
Condal
0 : 0
CD Mosconia
13 Sept
CD Mosconia
2 : 0
Gijon Industrial
06 Sept
Llanes
1 : 5
CD Mosconia
29 Aug
CD Mosconia
1 : 4
Real Oviedo B
15 Aug
CD Mosconia
0 : 2
Real Aviles
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Oviedo B 34 28 5 1 82:14 89
2 Caudal Deportivo 34 23 7 4 67:15 76
3 Covadonga 34 22 7 5 59:17 73
4 Gijon B 34 18 13 3 60:23 67
5 Lealtad 34 16 10 8 56:31 58
6 CD Mosconia 34 16 10 8 45:31 58
7 L Entregu CF 34 14 9 11 44:44 51
8 Praviano 34 10 14 10 32:36 44
9 CD Colunga 34 10 11 13 45:43 41
10 Tuilla 34 11 7 16 31:41 40
11 Aviles Stadium 34 10 8 16 28:63 38
12 Union Club Ceares 34 9 11 14 36:44 38
13 Real Titanico 34 10 6 18 38:56 36
14 EI San Martin 34 6 14 14 23:36 32
15 Lenense 34 8 8 18 30:63 32
16 Basico Urraca 34 5 12 17 35:56 27
17 Condal 34 6 8 20 20:59 26
18 CD Roces 34 1 6 27 16:75 9
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 (Play Offs)