Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Basico Urraca vs Gijon B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Ousmane A.
(Penalty)
37' Event
Acerete C.
(Penalty)
40' Event
Acerete C.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 game between Basico Urraca and Gijon B finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gijon B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Basico Urraca
30%
Draws
47%
Gijon B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gijon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Basico Urraca haven't matched Gijon B's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Gijon B a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Basico Urraca Clean Sheet 12%
Gijon B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basico Urraca Gijon B
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 3 23
Draws 11 8
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 0.93 2.39
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon B vs Basico Urraca
1:1
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs Gijon B
1:5
Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon B vs Basico Urraca
2:0
Oct 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs Gijon B
1:2
Mar 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs Gijon B
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basico Urraca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Gijon B Compare

Top Goalscorer Acerete C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basico Urraca 19 / 100
Gijon B 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basico Urraca Gijon B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gijon B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Basico Urraca scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Basico Urraca went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Gijon B has conceded goals in 44% of their last 36 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gijon B
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Basico Urraca

(Home)
11 May
Basico Urraca
1 : 4
Praviano
04 May
Gijon B
1 : 1
Basico Urraca
26 Apr
CD Roces
0 : 2
Basico Urraca
17 Apr
Basico Urraca
1 : 1
Union Club Ceares
12 Apr
Lealtad
5 : 1
Basico Urraca
Page 1 of 6

Gijon B

(Away)
29 Aug
Llanes
0 : 1
Gijon B
21 Aug
Real Aviles
4 : 2
Gijon B
18 Aug
Gijon B
2 : 2
Llanera
14 Aug
Gijon B
3 : 0
Leonesa B
11 Aug
CD Colunga
1 : 2
Gijon B
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Oviedo B 34 28 5 1 82:14 89
2 Caudal Deportivo 34 23 7 4 67:15 76
3 Covadonga 34 22 7 5 59:17 73
4 Gijon B 34 18 13 3 60:23 67
5 Lealtad 34 16 10 8 56:31 58
6 CD Mosconia 34 16 10 8 45:31 58
7 L Entregu CF 34 14 9 11 44:44 51
8 Praviano 34 10 14 10 32:36 44
9 CD Colunga 34 10 11 13 45:43 41
10 Tuilla 34 11 7 16 31:41 40
11 Aviles Stadium 34 10 8 16 28:63 38
12 Union Club Ceares 34 9 11 14 36:44 38
13 Real Titanico 34 10 6 18 38:56 36
14 EI San Martin 34 6 14 14 23:36 32
15 Lenense 34 8 8 18 30:63 32
16 Basico Urraca 34 5 12 17 35:56 27
17 Condal 34 6 8 20 20:59 26
18 CD Roces 34 1 6 27 16:75 9
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 (Play Offs)