Sport Picks
Match Events
24'
24'
Parsons H.
28'
28'
Blake T.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Basingstoke
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Basingstoke lately — more wins on the board than Bath City.
- Win probability leans Basingstoke's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Basingstoke Clean Sheet 15%
Bath City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Basingstoke | Bath City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.96 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Bath City
1:1
Nov 26, 2016 FA Trophy
Bath City vs Basingstoke
2:0
Oct 3, 2015 National League South
Bath City vs Basingstoke
0:0
Aug 11, 2015 National League South
Basingstoke vs Bath City
1:2
Mar 3, 2015 National League South
Basingstoke vs Bath City
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Basingstoke Compare
Top Goalscorer Blake T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Bath City Compare
Top Goalscorer Parsons H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Basingstoke 48 / 100
Bath City 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Basingstoke Bath City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Basingstoke Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Basingstoke scored in 86% of their last 28 games.
Bath City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Basingstoke remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Basingstoke VS Bath City
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Basingstoke
(Home) 31 Aug
Basingstoke
2 : 1 Bracknell Town
29 Aug
Taunton Town
4 : 3 Basingstoke
22 Aug
Basingstoke
1 : 1 Bath City
15 Aug
Poole Town
0 : 2 Basingstoke
11 Aug
Hanwell Town
2 : 1 Basingstoke
Page 1 of 6
31 Aug
Basingstoke
2 : 1 Bracknell Town
22 Aug
Basingstoke
1 : 1 Bath City
08 Aug
Basingstoke
2 : 4 Evesham
21 Jul
Basingstoke
2 : 6 Chesham
18 Apr
Basingstoke
3 : 1 Tiverton
Page 1 of 3
Bath City
(Away) 31 Aug
Frome Town
1 : 0 Bath City
29 Aug
Bath City
1 : 2 Uxbridge
22 Aug
Basingstoke
1 : 1 Bath City
15 Aug
Bath City
1 : 0 Hanworth Villa
11 Aug
Bath City
1 : 1 Plymouth Parkway
Page 1 of 6
31 Aug
Frome Town
1 : 0 Bath City
22 Aug
Basingstoke
1 : 1 Bath City
08 Aug
Sholing
1 : 2 Bath City
01 Aug
Farnborough
3 : 0 Bath City
18 Apr
Dorking Wanderers
1 : 3 Bath City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uxbridge | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:6 | 14 |
| 2 | Plymouth Parkway | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:6 | 13 |
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:3 | 13 |
| 4 | Frome Town | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:4 | 12 |
| 5 | Taunton Town | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19:14 | 12 |
| 6 | Chichester City | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 12 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:10 | 10 |
| 8 | Berkhamsted Town | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:10 | 9 |
| 9 | Poole Town | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 10 | Evesham | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 11 | Bath City | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 8 |
| 12 | Yate | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 13 | Gosport Borough | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 14 | Basingstoke | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 7 |
| 15 | Sholing | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 7 |
| 16 | Chippenham Town | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 17 | Bracknell Town | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:14 | 7 |
| 18 | Wimborne | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 19 | Gloucester City | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | 5 |
| 20 | Hanwell Town | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 5 |
| 21 | Havant & Waterlooville | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | 4 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7:16 | 2 |
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
