Sport Picks
Basingstoke vs Bath City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Southern League Premier South 
Match Events
24'
24'
Parsons H.
28'
28'
Blake T.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
17%
15%
68%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bath City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Bath City lately — more wins on the board than Basingstoke.
- Win probability leans Bath City's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Basingstoke Clean Sheet 11%
Bath City Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Basingstoke | Bath City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Bath City
1:1
Nov 26, 2016 FA Trophy
Bath City vs Basingstoke
2:0
Oct 3, 2015 National League South
Bath City vs Basingstoke
0:0
Aug 11, 2015 National League South
Basingstoke vs Bath City
1:2
Mar 3, 2015 National League South
Basingstoke vs Bath City
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Basingstoke Compare
Top Goalscorer Blake T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Bath City Compare
Top Goalscorer Parsons H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Basingstoke 10 / 100
Bath City 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Basingstoke Bath City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bath City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Basingstoke scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Bath City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Basingstoke remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Basingstoke VS Bath City
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Basingstoke
(Home) 17 Oct
Gosport Borough
4 : 0 Basingstoke
13 Oct
Havant & Waterlooville
4 : 1 Basingstoke
10 Oct
Basingstoke
4 : 1 Malvern Town
29 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1 Basingstoke
26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0 Basingstoke
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Basingstoke
4 : 1 Malvern Town
19 Sept
Basingstoke
1 : 1 Gosport Borough
05 Sept
Basingstoke
0 : 0 AFC Stoneham
31 Aug
Basingstoke
2 : 1 Bracknell Town
22 Aug
Basingstoke
1 : 1 Bath City
Page 1 of 3
Bath City
(Away) 20 Oct
Bath City
1 : 0 Havant & Waterlooville
17 Oct
Hanwell Town
0 : 2 Bath City
13 Oct
Evesham
0 : 2 Bath City
10 Oct
Bath City
1 : 2 Gosport Borough
29 Sept
Bath City
2 : 1 Malvern Town
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Hanwell Town
0 : 2 Bath City
13 Oct
Evesham
0 : 2 Bath City
26 Sept
Plymouth Parkway
0 : 3 Bath City
22 Sept
Taunton Town
1 : 3 Bath City
31 Aug
Frome Town
1 : 0 Bath City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poole Town | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 22:13 | 27 |
| 2 | Uxbridge | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23:8 | 26 |
| 3 | Bath City | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:10 | 26 |
| 4 | Hanworth Villa | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:15 | 24 |
| 5 | Plymouth Parkway | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 26:12 | 23 |
| 6 | Chichester City | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 23:21 | 22 |
| 7 | Taunton Town | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 32:25 | 19 |
| 8 | Chertsey Town | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 25:18 | 19 |
| 9 | Frome Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 19 |
| 10 | Wimborne | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:9 | 18 |
| 11 | Gosport Borough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 18 |
| 12 | Berkhamsted Town | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 13 | Bracknell Town | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:27 | 14 |
| 14 | Yate | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:25 | 13 |
| 15 | Evesham | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15:26 | 13 |
| 16 | Sholing | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13:17 | 12 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19:25 | 12 |
| 18 | Hanwell Town | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 19 | Malvern Town | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 19:34 | 11 |
| 20 | Gloucester City | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 21 | Havant & Waterlooville | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 18:26 | 9 |
| 22 | Chippenham Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:25 | 9 |
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
