Sport Picks
Basingstoke vs Dorchester
England
Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 
Match Events
41'
41'
Blake T.
68'
68'
Grant S.
75'
75'
Moore C.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 game between Basingstoke and Dorchester finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Basingstoke
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Basingstoke carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Basingstoke's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Basingstoke Clean Sheet 19%
Dorchester Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Basingstoke | Dorchester |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.89 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.92 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Dorchester
1:1
Oct 28, 2025 FA Trophy
Basingstoke vs Dorchester
1:2
Oct 21, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Dorchester vs Basingstoke
1:0
Dec 28, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Dorchester vs Basingstoke
3:2
Aug 17, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Dorchester
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Basingstoke Compare
Top Goalscorer Blake T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96
Dorchester Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.71
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Basingstoke 85 / 100
Dorchester 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Basingstoke Dorchester
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Basingstoke Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Basingstoke scored in 85% of their last 27 games.
Dorchester has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Dorchester's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Basingstoke VS Dorchester
2.13 Goals Scored 0.29
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.71
88% Over 1.5 43%
88% Over 2.5 43%
63% Over 3.5 43%
Recent Form & Match History
Basingstoke
(Home) 22 Aug
Basingstoke
1 : 1 Bath City
15 Aug
Poole Town
0 : 2 Basingstoke
11 Aug
Hanwell Town
2 : 1 Basingstoke
08 Aug
Basingstoke
2 : 4 Evesham
21 Jul
Basingstoke
2 : 6 Chesham
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Basingstoke
1 : 1 Bath City
08 Aug
Basingstoke
2 : 4 Evesham
21 Jul
Basingstoke
2 : 6 Chesham
18 Apr
Basingstoke
3 : 1 Tiverton
06 Apr
Basingstoke
1 : 0 Sholing
Page 1 of 3
Dorchester
(Away) 25 Apr
Dorchester
0 : 4 Sholing
18 Apr
Hungerford
0 : 0 Dorchester
11 Apr
Dorchester
0 : 5 Gloucester City
06 Apr
Weymouth
0 : 0 Dorchester
03 Apr
Dorchester
2 : 3 Berkhamsted Town
Page 1 of 6
18 Apr
Hungerford
0 : 0 Dorchester
06 Apr
Weymouth
0 : 0 Dorchester
28 Mar
Walton & Hersham
3 : 1 Dorchester
17 Mar
Farnham
2 : 1 Dorchester
14 Mar
Basingstoke
1 : 1 Dorchester
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walton & Hersham | 42 | 29 | 5 | 8 | 94:42 | 92 |
| 2 | Farnham | 42 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 90:50 | 84 |
| 3 | Gloucester City | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 93:51 | 82 |
| 4 | Poole Town | 42 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 80:50 | 75 |
| 5 | Berkhamsted Town | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 62:50 | 72 |
| 6 | Sholing | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 74:53 | 69 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 64:55 | 67 |
| 8 | Gosport Borough | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 74:75 | 63 |
| 9 | Uxbridge | 42 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 74:70 | 59 |
| 10 | Havant & Waterlooville | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 78:70 | 58 |
| 11 | Plymouth Parkway | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 64:79 | 56 |
| 12 | Bracknell Town | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 70:71 | 55 |
| 13 | Yate | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:62 | 52 |
| 14 | Hanwell Town | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:63 | 52 |
| 15 | Wimborne | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 63:62 | 51 |
| 16 | Taunton Town | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 65:70 | 51 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 61:71 | 51 |
| 18 | Evesham | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 51:62 | 47 |
| 19 | Weymouth | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 53:71 | 47 |
| 20 | Dorchester | 42 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 48:79 | 40 |
| 21 | Hungerford | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 47:87 | 38 |
| 22 | Tiverton | 42 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 39:115 | 18 |
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
