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Basingstoke vs Gosport Borough - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Wiltshire J.
84' Event
Okine-Peters J.
90'
Zebroski C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Basingstoke
35%
Draws
52%
Gosport Borough
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gosport Borough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Basingstoke haven't matched Gosport Borough's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Basingstoke taking it.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Basingstoke Clean Sheet 20%
Gosport Borough Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basingstoke Gosport Borough
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.54 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Gosport Borough
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Gosport Borough
0:3
Oct 18, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Gosport Borough vs Basingstoke
3:4
Aug 30, 2025 FA Cup
Gosport Borough vs Basingstoke
2:1
Apr 5, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Gosport Borough
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basingstoke Compare

Top Goalscorer Okine-Peters J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Gosport Borough Compare

Top Goalscorer Wiltshire J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basingstoke 42 / 100
Gosport Borough 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basingstoke Gosport Borough

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basingstoke scored in 81% of their last 26 games.

Gosport Borough's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Basingstoke remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Basingstoke VS Gosport Borough
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Basingstoke

(Home)
29 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1
Basingstoke
26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0
Basingstoke
19 Sept
Basingstoke
1 : 1
Gosport Borough
12 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1
Basingstoke
08 Sept
AFC Stoneham
1 : 0
Basingstoke
Page 1 of 6

Gosport Borough

(Away)
07 Oct
Gosport Borough
1 : 3
Poole Town
30 Sept
Gosport Borough
1 : 1
Bracknell Town
26 Sept
Tiverton
1 : 3
Gosport Borough
19 Sept
Basingstoke
1 : 1
Gosport Borough
12 Sept
Gosport Borough
3 : 1
Taunton Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 10 7 0 3 17:12 21
2 Plymouth Parkway 9 6 2 1 23:8 20
3 Uxbridge 9 6 2 1 19:8 20
4 Hanworth Villa 9 6 1 2 17:8 19
5 Bath City 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
6 Frome Town 10 4 3 3 17:13 15
7 Chertsey Town 9 4 2 3 20:15 14
8 Taunton Town 9 4 1 4 23:22 13
9 Chichester City 9 4 1 4 14:16 13
10 Evesham 9 4 1 4 14:17 13
11 Berkhamsted Town 10 4 1 5 11:14 13
12 Wimborne 8 3 3 2 10:4 12
13 Gosport Borough 10 3 3 4 13:13 12
14 Yate 9 3 3 3 13:18 12
15 Bracknell Town 9 3 2 4 11:18 11
16 Sholing 8 3 1 4 9:12 10
17 Basingstoke 9 2 3 4 14:16 9
18 Hanwell Town 8 1 4 3 7:10 7
19 Gloucester City 9 1 4 4 12:17 7
20 Chippenham Town 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
21 Havant & Waterlooville 9 1 2 6 9:16 5
22 Malvern Town 9 1 2 6 13:25 5
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)