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Basque Country vs Costa Rica

World World

Friendly International 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Basque Country play Costa Rica in the Friendly International 2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Basque Country averaged 2 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. Costa Rica averaged 1.84 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. In past meetings, Basque Country won 1, Costa Rica won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 16, 2020 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Basque Country and 2.37 for Costa Rica. This points to a Basque Country double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Basque Country
29%
Draws
25%
Costa Rica
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Basque Country

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Basque Country picked up more points recently compared to Costa Rica.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 2.37 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Basque Country Clean Sheet 10%
Costa Rica Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basque Country Costa Rica
Matches Played 11 31
Wins 7 11
Draws 2 10
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 2 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2020 Friendly International
Basque Country vs Costa Rica
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basque Country Compare

Top Goalscorer Muniain I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nunez U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Costa Rica Compare

Top Goalscorer Moya J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.3
Avg xA / game 2.02

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basque Country 43 / 100
Costa Rica 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basque Country Costa Rica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Basque Country or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Basque Country attacking → ← attacking Costa Rica

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basque Country scored in 73% of their last 11 games.

Costa Rica let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Basque Country went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Costa Rica lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 43
3.00 Goals expected (xG) 3.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00