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Bastia Calcio vs Follonica Gavorrano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2019/2020
Sun, May 3, 2020
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bastia Calcio host Follonica Gavorrano in the Serie D - Group E 2019/2020. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Bastia Calcio at 0 goals for, 0 against; Follonica Gavorrano at 1.25 for, 1.63 against. Head-to-head, Bastia Calcio have won 0 to Follonica Gavorrano's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on May 3, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.42 xG vs 1.18) point toward Follonica Gavorrano. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bastia Calcio
40%
Draws
29%
Follonica Gavorrano
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Follonica Gavorrano come out ahead of Bastia Calcio on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Follonica Gavorrano have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Bastia Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Follonica Gavorrano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bastia Calcio Follonica Gavorrano
Matches Played 22 35
Wins 6 10
Draws 6 10
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2020 Serie D - Group E
Bastia Calcio vs Follonica Gavorrano
0:0
Jan 8, 2020 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Bastia Calcio
2:1
Mar 27, 2019 Serie D - Group E
Bastia Calcio vs Follonica Gavorrano
2:4
Nov 14, 2018 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Bastia Calcio
1:0
Jan 18, 2015 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Bastia Calcio
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bastia Calcio 32 / 100
Follonica Gavorrano 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bastia Calcio Follonica Gavorrano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Follonica Gavorrano let in goals in 86% of their last 35 matches.

Bastia Calcio's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Bastia Calcio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Follonica Gavorrano
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%