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Bastia Calcio vs Massese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Serie D - Group E 2018/2019
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AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2018/2019 game between Bastia Calcio and Massese finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bastia Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Bastia Calcio
30%
Draws
12%
Massese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bastia Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Bastia Calcio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Bastia Calcio taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Bastia Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Massese Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bastia Calcio Massese
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 10 1
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.04 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2019 Serie D - Group E
Bastia Calcio vs Massese
2:1
Nov 4, 2018 Serie D - Group E
Massese vs Bastia Calcio
1:2
May 3, 2015 Serie D - Group E
Bastia Calcio vs Massese
0:2
Dec 21, 2014 Serie D - Group E
Massese vs Bastia Calcio
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bastia Calcio 85 / 100
Massese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bastia Calcio Massese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bastia Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Massese conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Bastia Calcio scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Bastia Calcio remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bastia Calcio VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bastia Calcio

(Home)
01 Mar
San Donato Tavarnelle
2 : 0
Bastia Calcio
22 Feb
Bastia Calcio
1 : 0
Sporting Trestina
16 Feb
FC Ponsacco
2 : 2
Bastia Calcio
09 Feb
Bastia Calcio
1 : 2
Grosseto
02 Feb
Foligno
0 : 0
Bastia Calcio
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Massese

(Away)
05 May
Montevarchi
2 : 0
Massese
28 Apr
Massese
1 : 2
Seravezza Pozzi
18 Apr
Ghiviborgo
3 : 0
Massese
14 Apr
Massese
0 : 0
Viareggio
07 Apr
Scandicci
2 : 0
Massese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pianese 38 21 11 6 58:21 74
2 FC Ponsacco 38 20 13 5 61:27 73
3 Seravezza Pozzi 38 19 8 11 62:42 65
4 Follonica Gavorrano 38 18 10 10 49:34 64
5 Montevarchi 38 18 10 10 49:38 64
6 San Donato Tavarnelle 38 16 15 7 51:32 63
7 Ghiviborgo 38 16 12 10 50:37 60
8 Tuttocuoio 38 15 10 13 43:43 55
9 Prato 38 15 10 13 50:48 54
10 Cannara 38 12 15 11 33:38 51
11 Sporting Trestina 38 13 11 14 39:40 50
12 Aglianese Calcio 38 10 16 12 43:52 46
13 Real Forte Querceta 38 12 10 16 42:54 46
14 Sangiovannese 38 11 12 15 36:41 45
15 Bastia Calcio 38 12 9 17 45:56 45
16 Scandicci 38 11 10 17 44:53 43
17 Viareggio 38 8 13 17 42:50 37
18 UC Sinalunghese 38 8 13 17 30:54 37
19 Sangimignano Sport 38 8 12 18 22:51 36
20 Massese 38 2 10 26 26:64 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2018/2019 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2018/2019 (Play Offs)