Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bastia vs Gueugnon

France France

National 2010/2011
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event

AI Match Summary

Bastia in this National 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bastia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Bastia
15%
Draws
26%
Gueugnon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bastia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Bastia have won more games recently than Gueugnon.
  • Bastia are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bastia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Bastia Clean Sheet 68%
Gueugnon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bastia Gueugnon
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 11 2
Losses 10 25
Goals Scored 1.03 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2011 Ligue 3
Bastia vs Gueugnon
3:1
Oct 13, 2010 Ligue 3
Gueugnon vs Bastia
1:4
Jan 25, 2008 Ligue 2
Gueugnon vs Bastia
0:1
Aug 17, 2007 Ligue 2
Bastia vs Gueugnon
1:0
May 18, 2007 Ligue 2
Gueugnon vs Bastia
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bastia 59 / 100
Gueugnon 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bastia Gueugnon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bastia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gueugnon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 26 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Bastia scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Bastia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bastia VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bastia

(Home)
17 Sept
Bastia
1 : 1
Cannes
12 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 1
Bastia
05 Sept
Bastia
0 : 3
Amiens SC
27 Aug
Caen
0 : 1
Bastia
20 Aug
Bastia
2 : 3
Versailles
Page 1 of 6

Gueugnon

(Away)
16 Nov
Gueugnon
1 : 3
Sochaux
29 Oct
Chamalieres
2 : 1
Gueugnon
17 Nov
Gueugnon
1 : 3
Clermont
02 Dec
Gueugnon
1 : 2
Angouleme CFC
11 Nov
Tour Saint Clair
0 : 1
Gueugnon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bastia 40 27 10 3 81:24 91
2 Amiens SC 40 24 12 4 58:27 84
3 Guingamp 40 23 11 6 87:36 80
4 Strasbourg 40 20 17 3 56:27 77
5 Cannes 40 18 14 8 51:35 68
6 Frejus Saint Raphael 40 19 10 11 56:41 67
7 Beauvais 40 15 16 9 50:48 61
8 Rouen 40 15 14 11 54:44 59
9 Orleans 40 13 14 13 43:40 53
10 Creteil 40 13 12 15 41:48 51
11 Paris FC 40 11 16 13 45:46 49
12 Luzenac 40 12 13 15 39:44 49
13 Niort 40 13 10 17 46:46 49
14 Pacy Eure 40 13 8 19 38:47 45
15 Colmar 40 11 11 18 31:48 44
16 Gap 40 11 10 19 44:62 43
17 Bayonne 40 11 10 19 36:58 43
18 Rodez 40 11 7 22 41:63 40
19 Plabennec 40 9 12 19 33:52 39
20 Alfortville 40 6 10 24 33:79 28
21 Gueugnon 40 3 7 30 21:69 16
Promotion - Ligue 2 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2011/2012 (Main)