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Bastia vs IC Croix

France France

National 2 - Group A 2019/2020 Stade Armand Cesari, Bastia
Sat, May 16, 2020
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bastia host IC Croix in the National 2 - Group A 2019/2020. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Bastia at 1 goals for, 1.23 against; IC Croix at 0.95 for, 1.9 against. Head-to-head, Bastia have won 1 to IC Croix's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 16, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.23 xG vs 1.13) point toward Bastia. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Bastia
15%
Draws
39%
IC Croix
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bastia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bastia come out ahead of IC Croix on wins alone.
  • Bastia are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Bastia Clean Sheet 20%
IC Croix Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bastia IC Croix
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 9 5
Draws 11 3
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1 0.95
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2020 National 1 - Group A
Bastia vs IC Croix
0:0
Dec 21, 2019 National 1 - Group A
IC Croix vs Bastia
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bastia 49 / 100
IC Croix 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bastia IC Croix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bastia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IC Croix's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 21 matches.

Bastia found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Bastia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bastia VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bastia

(Home)
17 Sept
Bastia
1 : 1
Cannes
12 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 1
Bastia
05 Sept
Bastia
0 : 3
Amiens SC
27 Aug
Caen
0 : 1
Bastia
20 Aug
Bastia
2 : 3
Versailles
Page 1 of 6

IC Croix

(Away)
19 Dec
IC Croix
0 : 4
Reims
29 Nov
IC Croix
2 : 1
Le Geldar
15 Nov
IC Croix
3 : 2
Racing Club de France
27 Jul
IC Croix
0 : 1
Feignies-Aulnoye
18 Nov
Itancourt Neuville
3 : 2
IC Croix
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bastia 21 17 2 2 37:15 53
2 Sedan 21 14 6 1 27:4 48
3 FC Bobigny 93 21 13 6 2 35:12 45
4 Reims II 21 10 6 5 39:30 36
5 Sainte-Genevieve 21 9 7 5 30:25 34
6 Epinal 21 8 6 7 22:15 30
7 Lens II 21 7 7 7 26:27 28
8 St. Maur Lusitanos 21 6 6 9 22:23 24
9 Haguenau 21 6 5 10 21:29 23
10 St Quentin 21 6 5 10 23:27 23
11 Schiltigheim 21 6 4 11 26:36 22
12 Mulhouse 21 3 11 7 17:27 20
13 Belfort 21 5 4 12 24:34 19
14 Lille II 21 3 9 9 12:21 18
15 JA Drancy 21 3 8 10 16:28 17
16 IC Croix 21 4 4 13 17:41 16
Promotion - National 2020/2021 (Main)