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Bastia vs Martigues

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Sat, Jul 19, 2025
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bastia host Martigues in the Club Friendly 2025. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Bastia at 0.93 goals for, 1.14 against; Martigues at 1.2 for, 1.4 against. Head-to-head, Bastia have won 3 to Martigues's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 19, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.85 - 0.94) back Bastia to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Bastia
35%
Draws
32%
Martigues
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Martigues lately — more wins on the board than Bastia.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Bastia Clean Sheet 20%
Martigues Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bastia Martigues
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 8 9
Draws 11 3
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0.93 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Bastia vs Martigues
0:0
Mar 7, 2025 Ligue 2
Bastia vs Martigues
1:0
Oct 11, 2024 Club Friendly
Martigues vs Bastia
1:1
Aug 30, 2024 Ligue 2
Martigues vs Bastia
0:1
Jul 23, 2022 Club Friendly
Bastia vs Martigues
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bastia 31 / 100
Martigues 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bastia Martigues

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bastia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bastia found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Martigues conceded in 68% of 25 recent games.

Bastia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Bastia VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bastia

(Home)
14 Aug
Aubagne FC
0 : 1
Bastia
07 Aug
Bastia
0 : 2
Le Puy-en-Velay
31 Jul
Bastia
2 : 2
Annecy
24 Jul
Aubagne FC
1 : 1
Bastia
10 Jul
Rodez
5 : 3
Bastia
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Martigues

(Away)
26 Jul
Martigues
1 : 1
AC Ajaccio
10 May
Lorient
5 : 1
Martigues
02 May
Martigues
1 : 1
Paris FC
25 Apr
Guingamp
2 : 1
Martigues
18 Apr
Caen
0 : 3
Martigues
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