Sport Picks

Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025

Bataguassu

3 - 1

Maracaju

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025 game between Bataguassu and Maracaju finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bataguassu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Bataguassu

22%

Draws

18%

Maracaju

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Bataguassu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Bataguassu come out ahead of Maracaju on wins alone.
60% — that's where the model lands on Bataguassu taking it.
Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 69%

Over 4.5 Goals 31%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Bataguassu Clean Sheet 19%

Maracaju Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bataguassu	Maracaju
Matches Played	25	21
Wins	12	6
Draws	6	8
Losses	7	7
Goals Scored	2.38	1.33
Goals Conceded	1.25	3.33
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	3.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2

Bataguassu vs Maracaju

Possession: 54% - 55% Cards: 1 - 3

3:1

Sep 13, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2

Maracaju vs Bataguassu

Possession: 43% - 51% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bataguassu 58 / 100

Maracaju 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bataguassu Maracaju

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAT Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bataguassu scored in 92% of their last 25 games.

Maracaju has conceded goals in 67% of their last 21 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Bataguassu remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bataguassu VS Maracaju

2.38 Goals Scored 1.33

1.25 Goals Conceded 3.33

100% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 100%

38% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bataguassu	10	7	2	1	27:9	23
2	Clube de Regatas Aquidauana	10	7	2	1	23:7	23
3	Maracaju	10	4	4	2	12:13	16
4	Comercial MS	10	2	4	4	12:17	10
5	Esporte Clube Taveiropolis	10	2	0	8	11:25	6
6	Sao Gabriel MS	10	1	2	7	6:20	5