Sport Picks

Europe

Conference League Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium, Sumqayit

BATE

Thu, Jul 16, 2026

1 - 0

05:00 PM

AF Elbasani

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Epitaux Y.

17'

Neskoromnyi N.

42'

Varaksa V.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with BATE advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

BATE

22%

Draws

60%

AF Elbasani

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: AF Elbasani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and AF Elbasani come out ahead of BATE on wins alone.
60% — that's where the model lands on AF Elbasani taking it.
AF Elbasani arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor BATE, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

BATE Clean Sheet 22%

AF Elbasani Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	BATE	AF Elbasani
Matches Played	27	29
Wins	8	12
Draws	9	8
Losses	10	9
Goals Scored	1.38	1.13
Goals Conceded	1	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Conference League

BATE vs AF Elbasani

1:0

Jul 7, 2026 Conference League

AF Elbasani vs BATE

1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BATE 21 / 100

AF Elbasani 68 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

BATE AF Elbasani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AF Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AF Elbasani has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

BATE found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (27 games).

Solid form: BATE remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

BATE VS AF Elbasani

1.38 Goals Scored 1.13

1 Goals Conceded 1.38

75% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

BATE

(Home)

16 Jul

BATE

1 : 0

AF Elbasani

07 Jul

AF Elbasani

1 : 1

BATE

02 Jul

BATE

0 : 1

FC Gomel

27 Jun

Zhodino

3 : 0

BATE

21 Jun

BATE

2 : 3

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Page 1 of 6

AF Elbasani

(Away)

16 Jul

BATE

1 : 0

AF Elbasani

07 Jul

AF Elbasani

1 : 1

BATE

01 Jul

AF Elbasani

2 : 1

Petrovac

31 May

Vllaznia

1 : 2

AF Elbasani

24 May

AF Elbasani

3 : 0

Dinamo Tirana

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Tre Fiori-

TBD-

Floriana-

TBD-

Drita-

Borac Banja Luka-

TBD-

Petrocub Hincesti-

ML Vitebsk-

TBD-

Sutjeska-

Flora-

TBD-

TNS-

TBD-

Inter Escaldes-

Vardar-

TBD-

Riga FC-

Bissen-

TBD-

Gyor-

Basaksehir-

TBD-

FK Sarajevo2

Inter Turku3

Vaduz-

TBD-

Mornar Bar2

Atletic Escaldes4

Mondorf2

Dinamo Tbilisi3

Petrovac2

Zalgiris5

TBD-

Partizan-

TBD-

UNA Strassen3

La Fiorita0

FK Panevezys-

TBD-

Tobol-

Paks-

TBD-

Panathinaikos-

Spartak Trnava-

TBD-

CSKA 1948 Sofia-

Vojvodina-

TBD-

Ajax-

Shelbourne-

TBD-

Kalju3

Linfield2

FCSB-

TBD-

FK Auda Riga-

Aluminij-

TBD-

Dinamo Tirana4

FC Astana2

Zimbru Chisinau-

TBD-

Noah-

AF Elbasani1

BATE2

TBD-

Sion-

Zeleznicar Pancevo-

TBD-

Braga-

Neftci Baku-

TBD-

Din. Minsk2

Sileks1

Valur-

TBD-

Zrinjski-

GAIS-

TBD-

Nordsjaelland-

TBD-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

TBD-

Ludogorets-

Zilina-

TBD-

GKS Katowice-

AEK Larnaca-

TBD-

Beitar Jerusalem-

Decic1

FK Liepaja3

TBD-

Austria Vienna-

Alashkert4

Yelimay Semey3

TBD-

CFR Cluj-

TBD-

Universitatea Cluj-

TBD-

Brann-

Dila Gori3

Virtus2

TBD-

Apollon Limassol-

Lugano-

TBD-

Dukagjini-

NSI Runavik3

Hamrun2

TBD-

Koper-

Rakow Czestochowa-

TBD-

Valletta-

TBD-

HJK-

TBD-

Coleraine-

Motherwell-

TBD-

HB Torshavn-

Vllaznia2

Malisheva6

TBD-

Hibernian-

Bravo-

TBD-

Europa FC0

Shkendija Tetovo6

IFK Goteborg-

TBD-

Caernarfon0

Levadia10

LNZ Cherkasy-

TBD-

Gent-

FC Hegelmann1

Paide Linnameeskond4

Zira FK6

Torpedo Kutaisi0

Penybont0

FC Santa Coloma4

TBD-

Rapid Vienna-

Bohemians2

St Josephs0

Connahs Q.2

FC Ballkani3

TBD-

Debrecen-

TBD-

Marsaxlokk0

Pyunik Yerevan4

Polissya Zhytomyr-

TBD-

FC Copenhagen-

Varazdin-

TBD-

Jablonec-

Glentoran1

RFS4

TBD-

Vestri-

Rijeka-

TBD-

Derry City-

Vikingur3

Stjarnan5

Differdange1

Ilves3

TBD-

Dun. Streda-

TBD-

Velez Mostar2

Milsami1

TBD-

Quarter-finals

Tre Fiori-

TBD-

Floriana1

Drita1

Borac Banja Luka3

Petrocub Hincesti0

ML Vitebsk3

Sutjeska0

Flora1

TNS0

TBD-

Inter Escaldes-

Vardar2

Riga FC3

Bissen2

Gyor6

Basaksehir1

Inter Turku1

Vaduz4

Atletic Escaldes0

Dinamo Tbilisi3

Zalgiris0

TBD-

Partizan4

UNA Strassen0

FK Panevezys1

Tobol1

Paks1

Panathinaikos2

Spartak Trnava0

CSKA 1948 Sofia0

Vojvodina1

Ajax4

Shelbourne5

Kalju2

FCSB2

FK Auda Riga3

Aluminij1

Dinamo Tirana1

Zimbru Chisinau1

Noah1

BATE1

Sion1

Zeleznicar Pancevo0

Braga1

Neftci Baku2

Din. Minsk4

Valur1

Zrinjski0

GAIS1

Nordsjaelland0

TBD-

Hapoel Tel Aviv2

Ludogorets0

Zilina2

GKS Katowice1

AEK Larnaca0

Beitar Jerusalem1

FK Liepaja0

Austria Vienna2

Alashkert1

CFR Cluj1

TBD-

Universitatea Cluj2

Brann2

Dila Gori0

Apollon Limassol4

Lugano1

Dukagjini0

NSI Runavik0

Koper2

Rakow Czestochowa3

Valletta1

TBD-

HJK5

Coleraine0

Motherwell2

HB Torshavn0

Malisheva2

Hibernian0

Bravo2

Shkendija Tetovo1

IFK Goteborg1

Levadia2

LNZ Cherkasy0

Gent0

Paide Linnameeskond1

Zira FK0

FC Santa Coloma1

Rapid Vienna3

Bohemians2

FC Ballkani1

TBD-

Debrecen1

Pyunik Yerevan0

Polissya Zhytomyr3

FC Copenhagen3

Varazdin3

Jablonec2

RFS4

Vestri1

Rijeka1

Derry City0

Stjarnan1

Ilves0

TBD-

Dun. Streda1

Velez Mostar0

TBD-

Semi-finals

Tre Fiori-

TBD-

Inter Escaldes-

TBD-

Final

TBD-