Sport Picks

Stadium Background

BATE vs Slavia Mozyr

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup 2025/2026 Borisov Arena, Barysaw
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Solovey A.
22'
Chikida P.
22'
Telesh M.

AI Match Summary

BATE in this Belarusian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
BATE
28%
Draws
22%
Slavia Mozyr
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: BATE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Slavia Mozyr lately — more wins on the board than BATE.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on BATE taking it.
  • Slavia Mozyr arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor BATE, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
BATE Clean Sheet 68%
Slavia Mozyr Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BATE Slavia Mozyr
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Slavia Mozyr vs BATE
1:1
Apr 29, 2026 Belarusian Cup
BATE vs Slavia Mozyr
2:0
Apr 15, 2026 Belarusian Cup
Slavia Mozyr vs BATE
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
BATE vs Slavia Mozyr
1:1
Jun 20, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Slavia Mozyr vs BATE
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BATE Compare

Top Goalscorer Kress E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yarmolich A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Slavia Mozyr Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BATE 59 / 100
Slavia Mozyr 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BATE Slavia Mozyr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BATE found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (25 games).

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Difficult form: Slavia Mozyr registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Slavia Mozyr let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

BATE VS Slavia Mozyr
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

BATE

(Home)
16 Jul
BATE
1 : 0
AF Elbasani
07 Jul
AF Elbasani
1 : 1
BATE
02 Jul
BATE
0 : 1
FC Gomel
27 Jun
Zhodino
3 : 0
BATE
21 Jun
BATE
2 : 3
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Page 1 of 5

Slavia Mozyr

(Away)
19 Jul
Volna Pinsk
0 : 5
Slavia Mozyr
11 Jul
Dynamo Brest
4 : 1
Slavia Mozyr
01 Jul
Slavia Mozyr
2 : 4
ML Vitebsk
26 Jun
FK Baranovici
1 : 1
Slavia Mozyr
20 Jun
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 2
Isloch Minsk
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Stanles Pinsk0
Volna Pinsk3
TBD-
FC Minsk-
Drut Belynichi0
Orsha2
TBD-
Dynamo Brest-
Polotsk0
FK Baranovici5
TBD-
ML Vitebsk-
Svisloch1
FC Slonim4
TBD-
Neman-
Gazovik Vitebsk0
Ostrovets6
TBD-
Slutsk-
FK Miory0
Niva Dolbizno4
TBD-
Isloch Minsk-
Mozyrskiy NPZ0
Lokomotiv Gomel3
TBD-
Din. Minsk-
Dnepr Mogilev-
TBD-
TBD-
Vitebsk-
Krechet0
Osipovichi4
TBD-
Slavia Mozyr-
Technolog Mogilev0
DMedia6
TBD-
FC Gomel-
FK Inform0
FK Lida6
TBD-
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk-
Belshina-
TBD-
TBD-
Molodechno-
Nadezhda Baranovici0
Uni X Labs2
TBD-
Smorgon-
Neman Mosty0
BumProm Gomel4
TBD-
Zhodino-
Bobovnya1
Krumkachy2
TBD-
Naftan-
Agro Pelishche0
SKA-1938 Minsk2
TBD-
BATE-
1/16-finals
Volna Pinsk2
FC Minsk3
Orsha1
Dynamo Brest8
FK Baranovici1
ML Vitebsk2
FC Slonim1
Neman0
Ostrovets0
Slutsk3
Niva Dolbizno0
Isloch Minsk4
Lokomotiv Gomel1
Din. Minsk2
Dnepr Mogilev0
Vitebsk1
Osipovichi1
Slavia Mozyr5
DMedia0
FC Gomel2
FK Lida0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1
Belshina0
Molodechno3
Uni X Labs0
Smorgon2
BumProm Gomel0
Zhodino2
Krumkachy1
Naftan2
SKA-1938 Minsk0
BATE1
1/8-finals
FC Minsk2
Dynamo Brest3
ML Vitebsk8
FC Slonim1
Slutsk1
Isloch Minsk2
Din. Minsk2
Vitebsk1
Slavia Mozyr1
FC Gomel0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1
Molodechno0
Smorgon0
Zhodino4
Naftan3
BATE4
Quarter-finals
Dynamo Brest0
ML Vitebsk4
Isloch Minsk1
Din. Minsk2
Slavia Mozyr4
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk0
Zhodino1
BATE2
Semi-finals
ML Vitebsk0
Din. Minsk3
Slavia Mozyr0
BATE3
Final
Din. Minsk1
BATE2