Sport Picks

Stadium Background

BATE vs Slavia Mozyr

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup 2025/2026 Borisov Arena, Barysaw
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Solovey A.
22'
Chikida P.
22'
Telesh M.

AI Match Summary

BATE in this Belarusian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
BATE
20%
Draws
40%
Slavia Mozyr
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Slavia Mozyr lately — more wins on the board than BATE.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Slavia Mozyr taking it.
  • Slavia Mozyr arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor BATE, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
BATE Clean Sheet 14%
Slavia Mozyr Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BATE Slavia Mozyr
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.21 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Slavia Mozyr vs BATE
1:1
Apr 29, 2026 Belarusian Cup
BATE vs Slavia Mozyr
2:0
Apr 15, 2026 Belarusian Cup
Slavia Mozyr vs BATE
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
BATE vs Slavia Mozyr
1:1
Jun 20, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Slavia Mozyr vs BATE
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BATE Compare

Top Goalscorer Kress E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yarmolich A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Slavia Mozyr Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BATE 23 / 100
Slavia Mozyr 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BATE Slavia Mozyr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slavia Mozyr Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Slavia Mozyr conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Difficult form: Slavia Mozyr registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

BATE scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

BATE VS Slavia Mozyr
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

BATE

(Home)
19 Sept
Din. Minsk
2 : 0
BATE
13 Sept
BATE
2 : 2
Naftan
07 Sept
Dynamo Brest
1 : 0
BATE
03 Sept
Isloch Minsk
2 : 0
BATE
30 Aug
BATE
2 : 1
FC Minsk
Page 1 of 6

Slavia Mozyr

(Away)
19 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 1
Naftan
11 Sept
FC Minsk
1 : 0
Slavia Mozyr
04 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
3 : 0
Vitebsk
29 Aug
Neman
1 : 0
Slavia Mozyr
22 Aug
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 0
FC Gomel
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Stanles Pinsk 0
Volna Pinsk 3
TBD -
FC Minsk -
Drut Belynichi 0
Orsha 2
TBD -
Dynamo Brest -
Polotsk 0
FK Baranovici 5
TBD -
ML Vitebsk -
Svisloch 1
FC Slonim 4
TBD -
Neman -
Gazovik Vitebsk 0
Ostrovets 6
TBD -
Slutsk -
FK Miory 0
Niva Dolbizno 4
TBD -
Isloch Minsk -
Mozyrskiy NPZ 0
Lokomotiv Gomel 3
TBD -
Din. Minsk -
Dnepr Mogilev -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitebsk -
Krechet 0
Osipovichi 4
TBD -
Slavia Mozyr -
Technolog Mogilev 0
DMedia 6
TBD -
FC Gomel -
FK Inform 0
FK Lida 6
TBD -
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk -
Belshina -
TBD -
TBD -
Molodechno -
Nadezhda Baranovici 0
Uni X Labs 2
TBD -
Smorgon -
Neman Mosty 0
BumProm Gomel 4
TBD -
Zhodino -
Bobovnya 1
Krumkachy 2
TBD -
Naftan -
Agro Pelishche 0
SKA-1938 Minsk 2
TBD -
BATE -
1/16-finals
Volna Pinsk 2
FC Minsk 3
Orsha 1
Dynamo Brest 8
FK Baranovici 1
ML Vitebsk 2
FC Slonim 1
Neman 0
Ostrovets 0
Slutsk 3
Niva Dolbizno 0
Isloch Minsk 4
Lokomotiv Gomel 1
Din. Minsk 2
Dnepr Mogilev 0
Vitebsk 1
Osipovichi 1
Slavia Mozyr 5
DMedia 0
FC Gomel 2
FK Lida 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1
Belshina 0
Molodechno 3
Uni X Labs 0
Smorgon 2
BumProm Gomel 0
Zhodino 2
Krumkachy 1
Naftan 2
SKA-1938 Minsk 0
BATE 1
1/8-finals
FC Minsk 2
Dynamo Brest 3
ML Vitebsk 8
FC Slonim 1
Slutsk 1
Isloch Minsk 2
Din. Minsk 2
Vitebsk 1
Slavia Mozyr 1
FC Gomel 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1
Molodechno 0
Smorgon 0
Zhodino 4
Naftan 3
BATE 4
Quarter-finals
Dynamo Brest 0
ML Vitebsk 4
Isloch Minsk 1
Din. Minsk 2
Slavia Mozyr 4
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 0
Zhodino 1
BATE 2
Semi-finals
ML Vitebsk 0
Din. Minsk 3
Slavia Mozyr 0
BATE 3
Final
Din. Minsk 1
BATE 2