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Bath City vs Newport

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Bath City
35%
Draws
28%
Newport
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bath City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Newport have won more games recently than Bath City.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Bath City taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Bath City Clean Sheet 20%
Newport Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bath City Newport
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Bath City vs Newport
2:2
Jul 19, 2019 Club Friendly
Bath City vs Newport
1:1
Jul 14, 2015 Club Friendly
Bath City vs Newport
2:0
Feb 14, 2012 National League
Newport vs Bath City
1:0
Jan 3, 2012 National League
Bath City vs Newport
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bath City 42 / 100
Newport 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bath City Newport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newport's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Bath City found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Bath City stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bath City VS Newport
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bath City

(Home)
12 Sept
Bath City
2 : 0
Chippenham Town
05 Sept
Bath City
0 : 2
Weymouth
31 Aug
Frome Town
1 : 0
Bath City
29 Aug
Bath City
1 : 2
Uxbridge
22 Aug
Basingstoke
1 : 1
Bath City
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Newport

(Away)
19 Sept
Accrington
0 : 0
Newport
12 Sept
Newport
1 : 1
Fleetwood Town
05 Sept
Northampton
1 : 0
Newport
01 Sept
Salford
2 : 1
Newport
29 Aug
Newport
2 : 2
Tranmere
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