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Bath City vs Plymouth Parkway - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South Twerton Park, Bath
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Williams M.
48' Event
Reid R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Bath City
15%
Draws
31%
Plymouth Parkway
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bath City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Plymouth Parkway have won more games recently than Bath City.
  • Win probability leans Bath City's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Bath City Clean Sheet 18%
Plymouth Parkway Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bath City Plymouth Parkway
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 9 18
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.3 2.22
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 FA Trophy
Plymouth Parkway vs Bath City
0:3
Aug 11, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Bath City vs Plymouth Parkway
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bath City Compare

Top Goalscorer Reid R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Plymouth Parkway Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bath City 58 / 100
Plymouth Parkway 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bath City Plymouth Parkway

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bath City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bath City found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Plymouth Parkway conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Bath City stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bath City VS Plymouth Parkway
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bath City

(Home)
10 Oct
Bath City
1 : 2
Gosport Borough
29 Sept
Bath City
2 : 1
Malvern Town
26 Sept
Plymouth Parkway
0 : 3
Bath City
22 Sept
Taunton Town
1 : 3
Bath City
12 Sept
Bath City
2 : 0
Chippenham Town
Page 1 of 6

Plymouth Parkway

(Away)
10 Oct
Chichester City
3 : 1
Plymouth Parkway
03 Oct
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 1
Horsham FC
29 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1
Plymouth Parkway
26 Sept
Plymouth Parkway
0 : 3
Bath City
22 Sept
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 0
Frome Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 11 8 0 3 18:12 24
2 Uxbridge 10 7 2 1 20:8 23
3 Plymouth Parkway 10 6 2 2 24:11 20
4 Hanworth Villa 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
5 Bath City 10 5 2 3 14:10 17
6 Frome Town 11 4 4 3 18:14 16
7 Chichester City 10 5 1 4 17:17 16
8 Berkhamsted Town 11 5 1 5 14:14 16
9 Wimborne 9 4 3 2 16:7 15
10 Chertsey Town 10 4 3 3 22:17 15
11 Gosport Borough 11 4 3 4 15:14 15
12 Taunton Town 10 4 1 5 24:24 13
13 Evesham 10 4 1 5 14:18 13
14 Basingstoke 10 3 3 4 18:17 12
15 Yate 10 3 3 4 13:21 12
16 Sholing 9 3 2 4 10:13 11
17 Bracknell Town 10 3 2 5 11:19 11
18 Hanwell Town 9 2 4 3 9:11 10
19 Gloucester City 10 2 4 4 15:18 10
20 Chippenham Town 9 2 2 5 9:18 8
21 Havant & Waterlooville 10 1 2 7 12:22 5
22 Malvern Town 10 1 2 7 14:29 5
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)