Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Baumberg vs Hamborn

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Topal E.
56' Event
Sezer B.
67' Event
Homig R.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Niederrhein 2023/2024 game between Baumberg and Hamborn finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baumberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Baumberg
20%
Draws
28%
Hamborn
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Baumberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Baumberg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Baumberg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Baumberg here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Baumberg Clean Sheet 12%
Hamborn Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baumberg Hamborn
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 9 11
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 2.06 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.89 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
Baumberg vs Hamborn
4:0
Sep 3, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
Hamborn vs Baumberg
0:3
May 7, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
Hamborn vs Baumberg
4:1
Oct 30, 2022 Oberliga Niederrhein
Baumberg vs Hamborn
5:0
Feb 3, 2013 Oberliga Niederrhein
Hamborn vs Baumberg
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baumberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Homig R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Topal E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Hamborn Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baumberg 83 / 100
Hamborn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baumberg Hamborn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baumberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamborn's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Baumberg went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Baumberg scored in 78% of their last 36 games.

Scoring Trends

Baumberg VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Baumberg

(Home)
13 Sept
Baumberg
4 : 4
Juchen-Garzweiler
06 Sept
Solingen-Wald
1 : 4
Baumberg
30 Aug
Baumberg
2 : 1
Uerdingen
23 Aug
Meerbusch
2 : 4
Baumberg
15 Aug
Baumberg
1 : 1
Sonsbeck
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Hamborn

(Away)
04 Aug
Hamborn
7 : 0
SC St.Tonis
02 Jun
Schonnebeck
4 : 1
Hamborn
26 May
Hamborn
3 : 1
Germania Ratingen
12 May
Mulheimer FC 97
4 : 3
Hamborn
08 May
Frintrop
4 : 0
Hamborn
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baumberg 32 21 4 7 74:33 67
2 Schonnebeck 32 18 6 8 71:46 60
3 Uerdingen 32 18 4 10 56:40 58
4 SW Essen 32 16 5 11 60:44 53
5 Homberg 32 16 4 12 52:42 52
6 Hilden 32 15 7 10 57:49 52
7 Germania Ratingen 32 15 6 11 55:48 51
8 Sonsbeck 32 13 5 14 50:48 44
9 Buderich 32 13 3 16 52:51 42
10 SC St.Tonis 32 12 5 15 56:59 41
11 Union Nettetal 32 11 7 14 47:62 40
12 Mulheimer FC 97 32 10 6 16 51:61 36
13 Kleve 32 9 8 15 33:56 35
14 Meerbusch 32 9 7 16 52:62 34
15 TVD Velbert 32 7 13 12 50:65 34
16 Frintrop 32 8 9 15 42:59 33
17 Hamborn 32 6 11 15 36:69 29
18 Straelen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2024/2025 (Main)