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Baunatal vs Fernwald - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Baunatal host Fernwald in the Oberliga Hessen. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Baunatal at 1.68 goals for, 1.84 against; Fernwald at 1.61 for, 1.61 against. Head-to-head, Baunatal have won 2 to Fernwald's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Nov 22, 2025, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.69 - 1.88) back Baunatal to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Baunatal
35%
Draws
27%
Fernwald
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Baunatal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Fernwald haven't matched Baunatal's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Baunatal taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Hessen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Baunatal Clean Sheet 10%
Fernwald Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baunatal Fernwald
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 15
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.68 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Baunatal
1:2
Aug 9, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Baunatal vs Fernwald
2:1
May 10, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Baunatal
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Baunatal vs Fernwald
0:2
May 11, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Baunatal
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baunatal 40 / 100
Fernwald 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baunatal Fernwald

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baunatal found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Fernwald conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Baunatal remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Baunatal VS Fernwald
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Baunatal

(Home)
17 Oct
VfB Marburg
2 : 2
Baunatal
10 Oct
Baunatal
3 : 1
Hanauer SC
04 Oct
Kassel 2
2 : 0
Baunatal
26 Sept
Hunfelder
2 : 3
Baunatal
19 Sept
Alzenau
2 : 1
Baunatal
Page 1 of 7

Fernwald

(Away)
17 Oct
Fernwald
2 : 2
Hadamar
11 Oct
CSC 03 Kassel
0 : 0
Fernwald
03 Oct
Fernwald
2 : 2
RW Walldorf
26 Sept
Hummetroth
2 : 2
Fernwald
19 Sept
Fernwald
0 : 0
Eddersheim
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stadtallendorf 14 10 2 2 41:11 32
2 Unter-Flockenbach 14 9 2 3 37:25 29
3 Eddersheim 14 7 4 3 31:24 25
4 Hadamar 14 7 3 4 24:21 24
5 Turk Gucu Friedberg 14 7 3 4 27:21 24
6 Pohlheim 14 7 2 5 21:21 23
7 Darmstadt U21 14 6 3 5 31:18 21
8 VfB Marburg 14 6 3 5 19:18 21
9 Hunfelder 14 6 1 7 21:22 19
10 CSC 03 Kassel 14 5 3 6 15:25 18
11 Fernwald 14 3 9 2 22:20 18
12 Alzenau 14 5 3 6 18:20 18
13 RW Walldorf 14 5 2 7 22:30 17
14 Baunatal 14 4 3 7 20:26 15
15 Hanauer SC 14 3 4 7 21:32 13
16 Hummetroth 14 3 3 8 21:29 12
17 Kassel 2 14 3 3 8 16:24 12
18 Giessen 14 2 3 9 17:37 9
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen (Relegation)