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Baunatal vs Turk Gucu Friedberg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Oberliga Hessen
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen game between Baunatal and Turk Gucu Friedberg finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Turk Gucu Friedberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Baunatal
20%
Draws
40%
Turk Gucu Friedberg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Turk Gucu Friedberg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Turk Gucu Friedberg's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Oberliga Hessen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Baunatal Clean Sheet 10%
Turk Gucu Friedberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baunatal Turk Gucu Friedberg
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 1.82 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Oberliga Hessen
Baunatal vs Turk Gucu Friedberg
2:3
Apr 10, 2026 Oberliga Hessen
Turk Gucu Friedberg vs Baunatal
2:6
Sep 20, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Baunatal vs Turk Gucu Friedberg
4:0
Dec 7, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Baunatal vs Turk Gucu Friedberg
2:2
Jul 27, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Turk Gucu Friedberg vs Baunatal
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baunatal 14 / 100
Turk Gucu Friedberg 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baunatal Turk Gucu Friedberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turk Gucu Friedberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Baunatal's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Turk Gucu Friedberg let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Baunatal has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Baunatal VS Turk Gucu Friedberg
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Baunatal

(Home)
04 Oct
Kassel 2
2 : 0
Baunatal
26 Sept
Hunfelder
2 : 3
Baunatal
19 Sept
Alzenau
0 : 0
Baunatal
12 Sept
Baunatal
0 : 3
Stadtallendorf
09 Sept
Baunatal
2 : 0
CSC 03 Kassel
Page 1 of 6

Turk Gucu Friedberg

(Away)
02 Oct
Stadtallendorf
2 : 1
Turk Gucu Friedberg
26 Sept
Turk Gucu Friedberg
2 : 0
Pohlheim
19 Sept
Turk Gucu Friedberg
5 : 0
Giessen
12 Sept
Unter-Flockenbach
4 : 2
Turk Gucu Friedberg
08 Sept
Turk Gucu Friedberg
3 : 3
Eddersheim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stadtallendorf 12 8 2 2 35:11 26
2 Unter-Flockenbach 12 8 1 3 34:23 25
3 Eddersheim 12 7 4 1 28:19 25
4 Turk Gucu Friedberg 12 6 3 3 25:19 21
5 VfB Marburg 12 6 2 4 17:14 20
6 Hadamar 12 6 2 4 20:19 20
7 Pohlheim 12 6 2 4 20:20 20
8 Hunfelder 12 6 1 5 21:19 19
9 Darmstadt U21 12 5 3 4 27:17 18
10 Fernwald 12 3 7 2 20:18 16
11 RW Walldorf 12 4 2 6 19:26 14
12 CSC 03 Kassel 12 4 2 6 12:23 14
13 Alzenau 12 3 4 5 14:18 13
14 Baunatal 12 3 3 6 14:21 12
15 Kassel 2 12 3 2 7 14:18 11
16 Hanauer SC 12 2 4 6 19:29 10
17 Hummetroth 12 2 3 7 17:26 9
18 Giessen 12 1 3 8 15:31 6
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen (Relegation)