Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bautzen vs Arnstadt

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Kappler J.
78' Event
Baudisch F.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024 game between Bautzen and Arnstadt finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bautzen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Bautzen
20%
Draws
38%
Arnstadt
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bautzen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Bautzen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Bautzen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Bautzen Clean Sheet 11%
Arnstadt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bautzen Arnstadt
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 1.75 2
Goals Conceded 1.63 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Arnstadt
2:0
Jul 29, 2023 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Arnstadt vs Bautzen
2:2
Apr 16, 2022 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Arnstadt vs Bautzen
1:1
Aug 28, 2021 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Arnstadt
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bautzen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kappler J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baudisch F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Arnstadt Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bautzen 40 / 100
Arnstadt 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bautzen Arnstadt

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bautzen scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Arnstadt has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Bautzen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bautzen VS Arnstadt
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bischofswerdaer30217278:3370
2Plauen30224463:1970
3Halberstadt30186671:4560
4Magdeburg II30174970:4355
5Auerbach30174964:3855
6Krieschow301441259:5246
7Sandersdorf301331449:4642
8Freital301241443:4640
9Einheit Wernigerode301061454:6736
10Bautzen30981345:5235
11Einheit Rudolstadt301041640:5334
12Grimma30951640:6332
13Ludwigsfelder30871539:5031
14Halle30861647:6230
15Motor Marienberg30642033:9322
16Arnstadt30561935:6821