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Bautzen vs Auerbach

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen Logo

Bautzen

0 - 3
FT
Auerbach Logo

Auerbach

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Auerbach in this Oberliga NOFV- Sud matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Auerbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Bautzen
30%
Draws
54%
Auerbach
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Auerbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Auerbach lately — more wins on the board than Bautzen.
  • Win probability leans Auerbach's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Auerbach here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Bautzen Clean Sheet 10%
Auerbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bautzen Auerbach
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.93 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Auerbach
0:3
May 30, 2026 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Auerbach vs Bautzen
4:2
Dec 5, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Auerbach
3:1
Apr 6, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Auerbach
0:3
Oct 5, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Auerbach vs Bautzen
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bautzen 10 / 100
Auerbach 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bautzen Auerbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auerbach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Bautzen scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Auerbach's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Bautzen went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bautzen VS Auerbach
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
3.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bautzen

(Home)
12 Sept
Einheit Wernigerode
2 : 2
Bautzen
28 Aug
Bautzen
0 : 3
Auerbach
16 Aug
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 0
Bautzen
09 Aug
Bautzen
2 : 5
Eilenburg
03 Jul
Bautzen
0 : 14
Dresden
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Auerbach

(Away)
13 Sept
Auerbach
1 : 1
Dresden II
28 Aug
Bautzen
0 : 3
Auerbach
16 Aug
Auerbach
1 : 0
Plauen
09 Aug
Halle
2 : 1
Auerbach
04 Jul
Auerbach
1 : 2
Bayreuth
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Meuselwitz 5 5 0 0 12:4 15
2 Halberstadt 4 4 0 0 16:2 12
3 Eilenburg 4 3 1 0 12:6 10
4 Halle 4 3 0 1 10:6 9
5 Dresden II 4 2 2 0 8:3 8
6 Auerbach 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
7 Sandersdorf 4 2 0 2 11:3 6
8 SSC Weissenfels 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
9 Plauen 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
10 Einheit Wernigerode 4 1 2 1 8:8 5
11 Freital 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
12 Bautzen 4 0 2 2 4:10 2
13 Einheit Rudolstadt 4 0 2 2 3:9 2
14 Glauchau 4 0 1 3 3:9 1
15 Krieschow 4 0 0 4 2:14 0
16 1.FC Frankfurt 5 0 0 5 6:23 0
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2027/2028 (Main)