Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bautzen vs Auerbach

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026
Bautzen Logo

Bautzen

3 - 1
FT
Auerbach Logo

Auerbach

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026 game between Bautzen and Auerbach finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bautzen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bautzen
20%
Draws
29%
Auerbach
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bautzen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Auerbach come out ahead of Bautzen on wins alone.
  • Auerbach are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Bautzen Clean Sheet 14%
Auerbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bautzen Auerbach
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Auerbach vs Bautzen
4:2
Dec 5, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Auerbach
3:1
Apr 6, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Auerbach
0:3
Oct 5, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Auerbach vs Bautzen
4:0
Mar 16, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Auerbach vs Bautzen
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bautzen 10 / 100
Auerbach 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bautzen Auerbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Bautzen scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Auerbach's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Bautzen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bautzen VS Auerbach
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bautzen

(Home)
03 Jul
Bautzen
0 : 14
Dresden
30 May
Auerbach
4 : 2
Bautzen
17 May
Bautzen
3 : 1
Halberstadt
10 May
Halle
1 : 1
Bautzen
03 May
Heiligenstadt
2 : 3
Bautzen
Page 1 of 6

Auerbach

(Away)
04 Jul
Auerbach
1 : 2
Bayreuth
30 May
Auerbach
4 : 2
Bautzen
17 May
Freital
2 : 0
Auerbach
09 May
Auerbach
1 : 1
Einheit Rudolstadt
02 May
Plauen
3 : 1
Auerbach
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rsv Eintracht 30 20 8 2 61:29 68
2 Freital 30 19 2 9 57:28 59
3 Plauen 30 18 5 7 52:28 59
4 Auerbach 30 14 9 7 51:37 51
5 Halberstadt 30 14 6 10 49:44 48
6 Halle 30 13 7 10 68:45 46
7 Bautzen 30 12 9 9 57:46 45
8 Krieschow 30 12 7 11 48:42 43
9 Glauchau 30 11 7 12 46:52 40
10 Sandersdorf 30 10 9 11 40:41 39
11 Einheit Wernigerode 30 9 6 15 41:58 33
12 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 9 6 15 39:60 33
13 Stendal 30 8 6 16 41:59 30
14 Grimma 30 8 4 18 47:73 28
15 Bischofswerdaer 30 6 7 17 36:61 25
16 Heiligenstadt 30 4 8 18 33:63 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost (Main)