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Bautzen vs Borea Dresden

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Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2010/2011
Bautzen Logo

Bautzen

2 - 1
FT
Borea Dresden Logo

Borea Dresden

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2010/2011 game between Bautzen and Borea Dresden finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bautzen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Bautzen
35%
Draws
46%
Borea Dresden
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Borea Dresden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Bautzen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Bautzen Clean Sheet 20%
Borea Dresden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bautzen Borea Dresden
Matches Played 34 5
Wins 15 1
Draws 7 2
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 1.74 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.94 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Borea Dresden vs Bautzen
0:0
Nov 27, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Borea Dresden
0:0
Feb 13, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Borea Dresden
2:1
Aug 21, 2010 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Borea Dresden vs Bautzen
0:3
May 5, 2010 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Borea Dresden vs Bautzen
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bautzen 32 / 100
Borea Dresden 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bautzen Borea Dresden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Borea Dresden conceded in 80% of 5 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Bautzen scored in 79% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Bautzen went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bautzen VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bautzen

(Home)
12 Sept
Einheit Wernigerode
2 : 2
Bautzen
28 Aug
Bautzen
0 : 3
Auerbach
16 Aug
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 0
Bautzen
09 Aug
Bautzen
2 : 5
Eilenburg
03 Jul
Bautzen
0 : 14
Dresden
Page 1 of 7

Borea Dresden

(Away)
06 Jul
Bischofswerdaer
4 : 0
Borea Dresden
27 Aug
Borea Dresden
1 : 1
FC Gera 03
21 Aug
Aue II
4 : 0
Borea Dresden
29 Apr
Borea Dresden
1 : 1
Sachsen Leipzig
31 Oct
Sachsen Leipzig
0 : 1
Borea Dresden

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halberstadt 30 22 6 2 69:22 72
2 Auerbach 30 17 6 7 63:39 57
3 Bautzen 30 15 7 8 44:30 52
4 Erfurt II 30 12 12 6 48:39 48
5 Dresden II 30 12 5 13 48:45 41
6 Luckenwalde 30 11 8 11 53:55 41
7 Aue II 30 12 5 13 43:47 41
8 Lokomotive Leipzig 30 9 12 9 42:43 39
9 Zwickau 30 10 7 13 39:39 37
10 Sachsen Leipzig 30 9 9 12 33:43 36
11 Chemnitzer II 30 8 10 12 45:50 34
12 Gotha 30 10 4 16 40:55 34
13 Jena II 30 8 9 13 42:47 33
14 Halle 30 8 9 13 34:47 33
15 Borea Dresden 30 7 11 12 33:47 32
16 Magdeburg II 30 6 8 16 37:65 26
Relegation - Oberliga NOFV - Relegation 2010/2011 (Main)