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Bautzen vs Borea Dresden

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Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2010/2011 game between Bautzen and Borea Dresden finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bautzen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Bautzen
11%
Draws
80%
Borea Dresden
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Borea Dresden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Bautzen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Borea Dresden taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Bautzen Clean Sheet 17%
Borea Dresden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bautzen Borea Dresden
Matches Played 32 5
Wins 14 1
Draws 9 2
Losses 9 2
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Borea Dresden vs Bautzen
0:0
Nov 27, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Borea Dresden
0:0
Feb 13, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Borea Dresden
2:1
Aug 21, 2010 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Borea Dresden vs Bautzen
0:3
May 5, 2010 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Borea Dresden vs Bautzen
0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bautzen 12 / 100
Borea Dresden 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bautzen Borea Dresden

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bautzen found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Borea Dresden has conceded goals in 60% of their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Bautzen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bautzen VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Halberstadt30226269:2272
2Auerbach30176763:3957
3Bautzen30157844:3052
4Erfurt II301212648:3948
5Dresden II301251348:4541
6Luckenwalde301181153:5541
7Aue II301251343:4741
8Lokomotive Leipzig30912942:4339
9Zwickau301071339:3937
10Sachsen Leipzig30991233:4336
11Chemnitzer II308101245:5034
12Gotha301041640:5534
13Jena II30891342:4733
14Halle30891334:4733
15Borea Dresden307111233:4732
16Magdeburg II30681637:6526