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Bautzen vs Eilenburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen Logo

Bautzen

2 - 5
FT
Eilenburg Logo

Eilenburg

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Eilenburg in this Oberliga NOFV- Sud matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Eilenburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Bautzen
30%
Draws
58%
Eilenburg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Eilenburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bautzen lately — more wins on the board than Eilenburg.
  • Win probability leans Eilenburg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Sud form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Bautzen Clean Sheet 10%
Eilenburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bautzen Eilenburg
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.67 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Eilenburg
2:5
Jan 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Eilenburg vs Bautzen
1:2
May 20, 2023 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Eilenburg vs Bautzen
0:4
Apr 8, 2023 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Eilenburg
1:3
May 3, 2009 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Eilenburg
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bautzen 10 / 100
Eilenburg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bautzen Eilenburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eilenburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eilenburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Bautzen scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Bautzen remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bautzen VS Eilenburg
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
3.5 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Bautzen

(Home)
12 Sept
Einheit Wernigerode
2 : 2
Bautzen
28 Aug
Bautzen
0 : 3
Auerbach
16 Aug
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 0
Bautzen
09 Aug
Bautzen
2 : 5
Eilenburg
03 Jul
Bautzen
0 : 14
Dresden
Page 1 of 6

Eilenburg

(Away)
12 Sept
Eilenburg
3 : 2
1.FC Frankfurt
29 Aug
Freital
1 : 3
Eilenburg
16 Aug
Eilenburg
1 : 1
Dresden II
09 Aug
Bautzen
2 : 5
Eilenburg
04 Jul
Eilenburg
0 : 4
Babelsberg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Meuselwitz 5 5 0 0 12:4 15
2 Halberstadt 4 4 0 0 16:2 12
3 Eilenburg 4 3 1 0 12:6 10
4 Halle 4 3 0 1 10:6 9
5 Dresden II 4 2 2 0 8:3 8
6 Auerbach 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
7 Sandersdorf 4 2 0 2 11:3 6
8 SSC Weissenfels 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
9 Plauen 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
10 Einheit Wernigerode 4 1 2 1 8:8 5
11 Freital 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
12 Bautzen 4 0 2 2 4:10 2
13 Einheit Rudolstadt 4 0 2 2 3:9 2
14 Glauchau 4 0 1 3 3:9 1
15 Krieschow 4 0 0 4 2:14 0
16 1.FC Frankfurt 5 0 0 5 6:23 0
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2027/2028 (Main)