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Bautzen vs Heidenauer

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2013/2014
Bautzen Logo

Bautzen

1 - 0
FT
Heidenauer Logo

Heidenauer

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bautzen in this Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bautzen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Bautzen
20%
Draws
0%
Heidenauer
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bautzen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Bautzen have won more games recently than Heidenauer.
  • Win probability leans Bautzen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Bautzen have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bautzen Clean Sheet 20%
Heidenauer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bautzen Heidenauer
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 16 2
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 24
Goals Scored 2 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.97 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2014 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Heidenauer vs Bautzen
3:7
Dec 6, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Heidenauer
1:0
May 19, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Heidenauer
2:0
Nov 17, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Heidenauer vs Bautzen
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bautzen 85 / 100
Heidenauer 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bautzen Heidenauer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bautzen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bautzen's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Heidenauer let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Heidenauer has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bautzen VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bautzen

(Home)
12 Sept
Einheit Wernigerode
2 : 2
Bautzen
28 Aug
Bautzen
0 : 3
Auerbach
16 Aug
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 0
Bautzen
09 Aug
Bautzen
2 : 5
Eilenburg
03 Jul
Bautzen
0 : 14
Dresden
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Heidenauer

(Away)
08 Jun
Heidenauer
3 : 7
Bautzen
01 Jun
Hallescher II
3 : 0
Heidenauer
24 May
Heidenauer
1 : 3
Schott Jena
18 May
Dresden II
3 : 0
Heidenauer
10 May
Heidenauer
2 : 4
Piesteritz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bautzen 30 23 4 3 72:22 73
2 Markranstadt 30 21 4 5 54:21 67
3 Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 29 18 3 8 70:41 57
4 Halle 30 16 3 11 55:35 51
5 Aue II 29 15 2 12 48:54 47
6 Chemnitzer II 30 13 6 11 61:44 45
7 Cottbus II 30 14 3 13 49:52 45
8 Sandersdorf 30 14 3 13 43:51 45
9 Dresden II 30 12 5 13 41:41 41
10 Jena II 30 11 6 13 54:48 39
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 12 3 15 40:50 39
12 Schott Jena 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
13 Erfurt II 30 9 6 15 49:63 33
14 Hallescher II 30 9 4 17 39:55 31
15 Piesteritz 30 6 6 18 40:66 24
16 Heidenauer 30 2 4 24 27:94 10
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2014/2015 (Main)