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Bavois vs Cham

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Guignard L.
12' Event
Ouhafsa A.
49' Event
Ris J.

AI Match Summary

Bavois in this Promotion League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bavois.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Bavois
28%
Draws
22%
Cham
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Bavois

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Cham haven't matched Bavois's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bavois a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Bavois Clean Sheet 10%
Cham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bavois Cham
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 2.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Promotion League
Bavois vs Cham
3:2
Nov 15, 2025 Promotion League
Cham vs Bavois
0:2
Feb 22, 2025 Promotion League
Bavois vs Cham
0:0
Aug 17, 2024 Promotion League
Cham vs Bavois
1:0
Feb 17, 2024 Promotion League
Cham vs Bavois
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bavois Compare

Top Goalscorer Guignard L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ouhafsa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Cham Compare

Top Goalscorer Ris J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pasquarelli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bavois 47 / 100
Cham 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bavois Cham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bavois's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Cham let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Bavois has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bavois VS Cham
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kriens342545100:4379
2Bruhl SG34226687:4672
3Biel34197878:4664
4Basel II34178965:4859
5Bavois341741364:5355
6Young Boys II341591066:5254
7Schaffhausen341651351:4653
8Bulle341561370:6451
9Cham341481262:6150
10Grand-Saconnex3411101371:6943
11Zurich II341181559:6241
12Breitenrain341181547:5141
13Luzern II3410101480:8340
14FC Kreuzlingen348131343:6637
15Lugano II348121445:7536
16Paradiso348111551:6535
17Lausanne II34942160:8431
18Vevey34152828:1132