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Bavois vs Luzern II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Avdic E.
45'
Avdic E.
56' Event
Meyer S.

AI Match Summary

Luzern II in this Promotion League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luzern II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bavois
15%
Draws
85%
Luzern II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Luzern II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bavois lately — more wins on the board than Luzern II.
  • Bavois are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Promotion League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Bavois Clean Sheet 14%
Luzern II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bavois Luzern II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.4 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Promotion League
Bavois vs Luzern II
0:1
Mar 7, 2026 Promotion League
Luzern II vs Bavois
3:1
Aug 23, 2025 Promotion League
Bavois vs Luzern II
3:1
Nov 27, 2024 Promotion League
Bavois vs Luzern II
0:1
Aug 4, 2024 Promotion League
Luzern II vs Bavois
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bavois Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Luzern II Compare

Top Goalscorer Meyer S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bavois 57 / 100
Luzern II 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bavois Luzern II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bavois Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luzern II has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Bavois's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Luzern II lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bavois VS Luzern II
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bavois

(Home)
10 Oct
Bavois
0 : 2
Amical Saint-Prex
03 Oct
Breitenrain
1 : 0
Bavois
26 Sept
Biel
2 : 0
Bavois
20 Sept
Bavois
0 : 1
Luzern II
12 Sept
Young Boys II
2 : 1
Bavois
Page 1 of 6

Luzern II

(Away)
10 Oct
Luzern II
0 : 8
Schaffhausen
03 Oct
Basel II
3 : 2
Luzern II
26 Sept
Luzern II
2 : 3
Amical Saint-Prex
20 Sept
Bavois
0 : 1
Luzern II
12 Sept
Luzern II
0 : 1
Biel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Biel 10 8 1 1 23:10 25
2 Schaffhausen 11 8 1 2 29:13 25
3 Cham 11 7 1 3 19:14 22
4 Bulle 11 6 3 2 24:16 21
5 Paradiso 11 6 2 3 22:11 20
6 Young Fellows Juventus 11 6 1 4 16:14 19
7 Grand-Saconnex 11 6 0 5 19:15 18
8 Amical Saint-Prex 11 5 1 5 16:22 16
9 Basel II 10 5 0 5 19:19 15
10 Zurich II 11 4 3 4 20:20 15
11 Breitenrain 11 4 3 4 15:17 15
12 Bruhl SG 11 4 2 5 13:15 14
13 FC Kreuzlingen 10 3 3 4 13:13 12
14 Young Boys II 11 3 2 6 21:30 11
15 Lugano II 10 3 0 7 15:22 9
16 Bavois 11 2 2 7 10:14 8
17 Luzern II 11 2 1 8 15:27 7
18 Bellinzona 11 1 2 8 7:24 5
Promotion - Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)