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Bavois vs Zurich II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Utz P.
49' Event
Ouhafsa A.
55' Event
Lhakpa N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Promotion League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Bavois
15%
Draws
49%
Zurich II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zurich II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Zurich II at 1.75 per game, Bavois at 1.48.
  • Win probability leans Zurich II's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Promotion League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Bavois Clean Sheet 14%
Zurich II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bavois Zurich II
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.48 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Promotion League
Bavois vs Zurich II
2:2
Mar 14, 2026 Promotion League
Bavois vs Zurich II
2:3
Aug 30, 2025 Promotion League
Zurich II vs Bavois
2:3
May 17, 2025 Promotion League
Bavois vs Zurich II
3:1
Nov 9, 2024 Promotion League
Zurich II vs Bavois
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bavois Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouhafsa A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bega I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Zurich II Compare

Top Goalscorer Utz P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lhakpa N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bavois 23 / 100
Zurich II 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bavois Zurich II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zurich II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zurich II has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Bavois's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Difficult form: Zurich II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bavois VS Zurich II
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Bavois

(Home)
03 Oct
Breitenrain
1 : 0
Bavois
26 Sept
Biel
2 : 0
Bavois
20 Sept
Bavois
0 : 1
Luzern II
12 Sept
Young Boys II
2 : 1
Bavois
05 Sept
Bavois
3 : 0
Bulle
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Zurich II

(Away)
04 Oct
Bellinzona
0 : 4
Zurich II
26 Sept
Zurich II
1 : 2
Grand-Saconnex
20 Sept
FC Kreuzlingen
2 : 2
Zurich II
13 Sept
Zurich II
1 : 3
Paradiso
05 Sept
Cham
4 : 0
Zurich II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Biel 10 8 1 1 23:10 25
2 Schaffhausen 10 7 1 2 21:13 22
3 Bulle 10 6 2 2 22:14 20
4 Paradiso 10 6 1 3 20:9 19
5 Cham 10 6 1 3 16:13 19
6 Grand-Saconnex 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
7 Young Fellows Juventus 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
8 Basel II 10 5 0 5 19:19 15
9 Zurich II 10 4 2 4 18:18 14
10 Breitenrain 10 4 2 4 13:15 14
11 Amical Saint-Prex 10 4 1 5 14:22 13
12 FC Kreuzlingen 10 3 3 4 13:13 12
13 Bruhl SG 10 3 2 5 12:15 11
14 Young Boys II 10 3 2 5 20:27 11
15 Lugano II 10 3 0 7 15:22 9
16 Bavois 10 2 2 6 10:12 8
17 Luzern II 10 2 1 7 15:19 7
18 Bellinzona 10 1 2 7 7:22 5
Promotion - Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)