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Bay FC W vs Chicago Stars W

USA USA

NWSL Women PayPal Park, San Jose, CA
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Cometti A.
32'
Hutton C.
39'
Huff T.

AI Match Summary

The NWSL Women game between Bay FC W and Chicago Stars W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chicago Stars W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Bay FC W
11%
Draws
9%
Chicago Stars W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Bay FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Chicago Stars W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bay FC W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Bay FC W Clean Sheet 20%
Chicago Stars W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bay FC W Chicago Stars W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Chicago Stars W
0:1
Aug 10, 2025 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs Bay FC W
1:1
Apr 13, 2025 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Chicago Stars W
1:2
Jun 8, 2024 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs Bay FC W
1:2
May 6, 2024 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Chicago Stars W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bay FC W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Chicago Stars W Compare

Top Goalscorer Swanson M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bay FC W 76 / 100
Chicago Stars W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bay FC W Chicago Stars W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chicago Stars W let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Bay FC W scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Bay FC W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bay FC W VS Chicago Stars W
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bay FC W

(Home)
18 Jul
Bay FC W
3 : 0
North Carolina Courage W
11 Jul
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2
Bay FC W
05 Jul
Boston Legacy W
2 : 2
Bay FC W
29 May
Orlando Pride W
3 : 1
Bay FC W
24 May
Bay FC W
0 : 1
Chicago Stars W
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Chicago Stars W

(Away)
18 Jul
Chicago Stars W
0 : 2
Angel City W
11 Jul
Boston Legacy W
2 : 0
Chicago Stars W
05 Jul
Chicago Stars W
3 : 2
Utah Royals W
31 May
Chicago Stars W
0 : 2
San Diego Wave W
24 May
Bay FC W
0 : 1
Chicago Stars W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Washington Spirit W1593324:1230
2Gotham FC W1593319:1030
3San Diego Wave W1692523:1729
4Portland Thorns FC W1683525:1827
5Utah Royals W1583422:1627
6Kansas City Current W1581623:2225
7Angel City W1471622:1422
8North Carolina Courage W1463520:1921
9Orlando Pride W1662821:2120
10Denver Summit W1454521:1919
11Bay FC W1453616:1918
12Seattle Reign W1452715:1917
13Houston Dash W1544718:2416
14Boston Legacy W1644817:2316
15Chicago Stars W1540118:3012
16Racing Louisville W14221016:278
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)