Sport Picks
Bay FC W vs Houston Dash W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
NWSL Women PayPal Park, San Jose, CA 
Match Events
60'
60'
Sub
Chapman A. In: Boattin L.
Out: Chapman A.
60'
60'
Sub
van Zanten K. In: Ivanovic M.
Out: van Zanten K.
62'
62'
Sub
Pfeiffer A. In: Girelli C.
Out: Pfeiffer A.
AI Match Summary
The NWSL Women game between Bay FC W and Houston Dash W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bay FC W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Houston Dash W's 1.2 goals per match outpaces what Bay FC W have produced (1.03).
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Bay FC W Clean Sheet 17%
Houston Dash W Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bay FC W | Houston Dash W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Houston Dash W
1:0
Jul 25, 2026 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs Bay FC W
1:0
Feb 15, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Houston Dash W vs Bay FC W
1:2
Aug 3, 2025 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Houston Dash W
2:2
May 25, 2025 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs Bay FC W
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bay FC W Compare
Top Goalscorer Girelli C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Houston Dash W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bay FC W 36 / 100
Houston Dash W 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bay FC W Houston Dash W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Houston Dash W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Houston Dash W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Bay FC W found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Houston Dash W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Bay FC W VS Houston Dash W
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Bay FC W
(Home) 03 Oct
Kansas City Current W
5 : 1 Bay FC W
27 Sept
Bay FC W
1 : 3 Orlando Pride W
20 Sept
Bay FC W
2 : 0 Racing Louisville W
17 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 2 Bay FC W
13 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Bay FC W
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Bay FC W
1 : 3 Orlando Pride W
20 Sept
Bay FC W
2 : 0 Racing Louisville W
05 Sept
Bay FC W
1 : 2 Kansas City Current W
23 Aug
Bay FC W
1 : 0 Houston Dash W
02 Aug
Bay FC W
2 : 3 Seattle Reign W
Page 1 of 3
Houston Dash W
(Away) 04 Oct
Houston Dash W
2 : 3 Washington Spirit W
27 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
20 Sept
Boston Legacy W
1 : 2 Houston Dash W
13 Sept
Houston Dash W
0 : 1 Utah Royals W
07 Sept
Orlando Pride W
3 : 1 Houston Dash W
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
20 Sept
Boston Legacy W
1 : 2 Houston Dash W
07 Sept
Orlando Pride W
3 : 1 Houston Dash W
30 Aug
Seattle Reign W
1 : 0 Houston Dash W
23 Aug
Bay FC W
1 : 0 Houston Dash W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35:21 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:28 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39:26 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44:35 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48:38 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:29 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns FC W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50:39 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36:43 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34:39 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:42 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36:52 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15:63 | 17 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
