Sport Picks
Bay FC W vs Kansas City Current W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
NWSL Women PayPal Park, San Jose, CA 
Match Events
11'
11'
Rodriguez I.
37'
37'
Rouse L.
45'
45'
Lema K.
AI Match Summary
The NWSL Women game between Bay FC W and Kansas City Current W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kansas City Current W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kansas City Current W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Kansas City Current W come out ahead of Bay FC W on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Kansas City Current W's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Kansas City Current W have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Bay FC W Clean Sheet 13%
Kansas City Current W Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bay FC W | Kansas City Current W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 NWSL Women
Kansas City Current W vs Bay FC W
5:1
Sep 5, 2026 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Kansas City Current W
1:2
Sep 7, 2025 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Kansas City Current W
0:2
May 11, 2025 NWSL Women
Kansas City Current W vs Bay FC W
4:1
Oct 13, 2024 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Kansas City Current W
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bay FC W Compare
Top Goalscorer Lema K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Kansas City Current W Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rodriguez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bay FC W 10 / 100
Kansas City Current W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bay FC W Kansas City Current W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kansas City Current W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Kansas City Current W conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Bay FC W scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Bay FC W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Bay FC W VS Kansas City Current W
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Bay FC W
(Home) 03 Oct
Kansas City Current W
5 : 1 Bay FC W
27 Sept
Bay FC W
1 : 3 Orlando Pride W
20 Sept
Bay FC W
2 : 0 Racing Louisville W
17 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 2 Bay FC W
13 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Bay FC W
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Bay FC W
1 : 3 Orlando Pride W
20 Sept
Bay FC W
2 : 0 Racing Louisville W
05 Sept
Bay FC W
1 : 2 Kansas City Current W
23 Aug
Bay FC W
1 : 0 Houston Dash W
02 Aug
Bay FC W
2 : 3 Seattle Reign W
Page 1 of 3
Kansas City Current W
(Away) 03 Oct
Kansas City Current W
5 : 1 Bay FC W
26 Sept
Kansas City Current W
4 : 1 Denver Summit W
19 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 0 Kansas City Current W
12 Sept
Kansas City Current W
2 : 2 Orlando Pride W
05 Sept
Bay FC W
1 : 2 Kansas City Current W
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 0 Kansas City Current W
05 Sept
Bay FC W
1 : 2 Kansas City Current W
15 Aug
Gotham FC W
2 : 1 Kansas City Current W
09 Aug
Houston Dash W
1 : 1 Kansas City Current W
25 Jul
Boston Legacy W
1 : 0 Kansas City Current W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35:21 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:28 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39:26 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44:35 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48:38 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:29 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns FC W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50:39 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36:43 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34:39 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:42 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36:52 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15:63 | 17 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
