Sport Picks
Bay FC W vs North Carolina Courage W Prediction & H2H Stats
USA
NWSL Women PayPal Park, San Jose, CA 
Match Events
15'
15'
Lema K.
Assist: Kundananji R.
17'
17'
Lema K.
Assist: Pfeiffer A.
46'
46'
Sub
Rauch F. In: Parkinson E.
Out: Rauch F.
AI Match Summary
Bay FC W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bay FC W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North Carolina Courage W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Bay FC W haven't matched North Carolina Courage W's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans North Carolina Courage W's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Bay FC W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Bay FC W Clean Sheet 10%
North Carolina Courage W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bay FC W | North Carolina Courage W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 17 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs North Carolina Courage W
3:0
Mar 28, 2026 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Bay FC W
1:3
Oct 18, 2025 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs North Carolina Courage W
1:4
Apr 19, 2025 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Bay FC W
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs North Carolina Courage W
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bay FC W Compare
Top Goalscorer Lema K.
2 Goals Assists Leader Kundananji R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
North Carolina Courage W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bay FC W 10 / 100
North Carolina Courage W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bay FC W North Carolina Courage W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick North Carolina Courage W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bay FC W's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
North Carolina Courage W has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
North Carolina Courage W lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bay FC W VS North Carolina Courage W
1 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Bay FC W
(Home) 03 Oct
Kansas City Current W
5 : 1 Bay FC W
27 Sept
Bay FC W
1 : 3 Orlando Pride W
20 Sept
Bay FC W
2 : 0 Racing Louisville W
17 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 2 Bay FC W
13 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Bay FC W
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Bay FC W
1 : 3 Orlando Pride W
20 Sept
Bay FC W
2 : 0 Racing Louisville W
05 Sept
Bay FC W
1 : 2 Kansas City Current W
23 Aug
Bay FC W
1 : 0 Houston Dash W
02 Aug
Bay FC W
2 : 3 Seattle Reign W
Page 1 of 3
North Carolina Courage W
(Away) 03 Oct
Seattle Reign W
0 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
27 Sept
Utah Royals W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
19 Sept
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 2 Gotham FC W
12 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6 North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Seattle Reign W
0 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
27 Sept
Utah Royals W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
12 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6 North Carolina Courage W
29 Aug
Kansas City Current W
3 : 2 North Carolina Courage W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35:21 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:28 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39:26 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44:35 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48:38 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:29 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns FC W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50:39 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36:43 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34:39 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:42 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36:52 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15:63 | 17 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
