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Bay FC W vs Utah Royals W

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NWSL Women 2025 PayPal Park
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Match Events

9' Event
Thomsen J.
Assist: Cronin P.
13'
Solorzano A.
18' Event
Solorzano A.

AI Match Summary

Utah Royals W in this NWSL Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Utah Royals W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Bay FC W
28%
Draws
22%
Utah Royals W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Bay FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Bay FC W haven't matched Utah Royals W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bay FC W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular NWSL Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Bay FC W Clean Sheet 16%
Utah Royals W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bay FC W Utah Royals W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Utah Royals W
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Utah Royals W
0:2
Mar 15, 2025 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs Bay FC W
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs Bay FC W
2:1
Jun 17, 2024 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Utah Royals W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bay FC W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Utah Royals W Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomsen J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Solorzano A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bay FC W 48 / 100
Utah Royals W 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bay FC W Utah Royals W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bay FC W's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Utah Royals W has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Bay FC W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bay FC W VS Utah Royals W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kansas City Current W26212349:1365
2Washington Spirit W26128642:3344
3Portland Thorns FC W26117836:2940
4Orlando Pride W26117833:2740
5Seattle Reign W26109732:2939
6San Diego Wave W26107941:3437
7Racing Louisville W26107935:3837
8Gotham FC W2699835:2536
9North Carolina Courage W2698937:3935
10Houston Dash W26861227:3930
11Angel City W26761331:4127
12Utah Royals W26671328:4225
13Bay FC W26481426:4120
14Chicago Stars W263111232:5420