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Bayelsa United vs Niger Tornadoes

Nigeria Nigeria

NPFL 2025/2026 Samson Siasia Sports Stadium, Yenagoa
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Dalhatu A.
61'
Sub
Abubakar I. In: Mendos R.
Out: Abubakar I.
61'
Sub
Dalhatu A. In: Ahmadu L.
Out: Dalhatu A.

AI Match Summary

The NPFL 2025/2026 game between Bayelsa United and Niger Tornadoes finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Bayelsa United
20%
Draws
58%
Niger Tornadoes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Niger Tornadoes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Niger Tornadoes come out ahead of Bayelsa United on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Bayelsa United Clean Sheet 20%
Niger Tornadoes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayelsa United Niger Tornadoes
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.97 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2026 NPFL
Bayelsa United vs Niger Tornadoes
0:0
Sep 7, 2025 NPFL
Niger Tornadoes vs Bayelsa United
1:0
Apr 20, 2025 NPFL
Niger Tornadoes vs Bayelsa United
1:1
Nov 27, 2024 NPFL
Bayelsa United vs Niger Tornadoes
4:1
Mar 9, 2024 NPFL
Bayelsa United vs Niger Tornadoes
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayelsa United 32 / 100
Niger Tornadoes 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayelsa United Niger Tornadoes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Niger Tornadoes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Bayelsa United's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Niger Tornadoes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Bayelsa United stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bayelsa United VS Niger Tornadoes
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayelsa United

(Home)
01 Jun
Wikki Tourists
3 : 1
Bayelsa United
24 May
Bayelsa United
4 : 0
Kwara
10 May
Remo Stars
2 : 1
Bayelsa United
03 May
Bayelsa United
0 : 2
Rangers International
19 Apr
Katsina Utd
3 : 2
Bayelsa United
Page 1 of 6

Niger Tornadoes

(Away)
06 Sept
Kano Pillars
3 : 2
Niger Tornadoes
30 Aug
Niger Tornadoes
2 : 1
Enyimba International
24 May
Niger Tornadoes
1 : 0
Shooting
10 May
El Kanemi Warriors
0 : 0
Niger Tornadoes
03 May
Niger Tornadoes
2 : 2
Kwara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rangers International 38 19 11 8 47:27 68
2 Rivers United 38 19 10 9 44:31 67
3 Shooting 38 18 6 14 41:40 60
4 Ikorodu City 38 16 10 12 43:39 58
5 Bendel 38 14 14 10 44:38 56
6 Nasarawa United 38 16 8 14 37:34 56
7 Abia Warriors 38 16 7 15 31:34 55
8 Barau 38 13 13 12 34:30 52
9 Katsina Utd 38 14 10 14 36:39 52
10 Plateau United 38 15 5 18 39:40 50
11 Enyimba International 38 13 10 15 44:42 49
12 Kun Khalifa 38 13 10 15 42:40 49
13 Warri Wolves 38 13 10 15 36:41 49
14 Niger Tornadoes 38 13 9 16 37:36 48
15 Kano Pillars 38 15 6 17 34:39 48
16 Kwara 38 13 11 14 32:36 47
17 Remo Stars 38 14 5 19 42:47 47
18 El Kanemi Warriors 38 13 8 17 27:46 47
19 Bayelsa United 38 11 10 17 37:42 43
20 Wikki Tourists 38 9 13 16 36:48 40
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)