Sport Picks
Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Bundesliga BayArena, Leverkusen 
AI Match Summary
Bayer Leverkusen host Freiburg in the Bundesliga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Bayer Leverkusen at 2.21 goals for, 1.21 against; Freiburg at 2.17 for, 1.36 against. Head-to-head, Bayer Leverkusen have won 3 to Freiburg's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 3:3. xG projections (1.50 - 2.06) back Bayer Leverkusen to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Freiburg have won more games recently than Bayer Leverkusen.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Bayer Leverkusen taking it.
- Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bayer Leverkusen | Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 36 |
| Wins | 15 | 22 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.21 | 2.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bayer Leverkusen found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.
Freiburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 36 matches.
Recent resilience: Bayer Leverkusen stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Bayer Leverkusen
(Home)Freiburg
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 5 | Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 7 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Mainz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 7 |
| 8 | Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:10 | 5 |
| 11 | Schalke | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 12 | Paderborn | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Koln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:13 | 3 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:17 | 1 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | 0 |
