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Bayer Leverkusen vs Genk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Belocian J.
42' Event
Tella N.
46'
Sub
Sarfo E. In: Akpan C.
Out: Sarfo E.

AI Match Summary

Bayer Leverkusen in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bayer Leverkusen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Bayer Leverkusen
30%
Draws
23%
Genk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bayer Leverkusen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bayer Leverkusen lately — more wins on the board than Genk.
  • Win probability leans Bayer Leverkusen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bayer Leverkusen here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Bayer Leverkusen Clean Sheet 16%
Genk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayer Leverkusen Genk
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.33 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Bayer Leverkusen vs Genk
4:0
Dec 6, 2011 Champions League
Genk vs Bayer Leverkusen
1:1
Sep 28, 2011 Champions League
Bayer Leverkusen vs Genk
2:0
Jul 23, 2011 Club Friendly
Bayer Leverkusen vs Genk
4:1
Jul 15, 2009 Club Friendly
Genk vs Bayer Leverkusen
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayer Leverkusen Compare

Top Goalscorer Belocian J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tella N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Genk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayer Leverkusen 84 / 100
Genk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayer Leverkusen Genk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayer Leverkusen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayer Leverkusen found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (27 games).

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Genk let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Bayer Leverkusen stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bayer Leverkusen VS Genk
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayer Leverkusen

(Home)
20 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0
RB Leipzig
16 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0
Celje
12 Sept
Augsburg
2 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen
05 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0
Union Berlin
29 Aug
Elversberg
3 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen
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Genk

(Away)
03 Oct
Genk
1 : 2
Sittard
20 Sept
Club Brugge
3 : 0
Genk
13 Sept
Genk
1 : 1
Gent
06 Sept
Anderlecht
0 : 0
Genk
28 Aug
Genk
4 : 0
SK Beveren
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