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Bayer Leverkusen vs Genk

World World

Club Friendly
Wed, Jul 29, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bayer Leverkusen host Genk in the Club Friendly. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Genk have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while Bayer Leverkusen have conceded 0.71 and scored 1.71. Head-to-head, Bayer Leverkusen have won 3 to Genk's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Dec 6, 2011, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.23 - 1.23) back Bayer Leverkusen to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bayer Leverkusen
6%
Draws
4%
Genk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bayer Leverkusen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bayer Leverkusen lately — more wins on the board than Genk.
  • Win probability leans Bayer Leverkusen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bayer Leverkusen here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bayer Leverkusen Clean Sheet 20%
Genk Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayer Leverkusen Genk
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 13 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.71 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.71 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.71 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2011 Champions League
Genk vs Bayer Leverkusen
1:1
Sep 28, 2011 Champions League
Bayer Leverkusen vs Genk
2:0
Jul 23, 2011 Club Friendly
Bayer Leverkusen vs Genk
4:1
Jul 15, 2009 Club Friendly
Genk vs Bayer Leverkusen
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayer Leverkusen 85 / 100
Genk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayer Leverkusen Genk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayer Leverkusen found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Genk let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Bayer Leverkusen stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bayer Leverkusen VS Genk
1.71 Goals Scored 1.75
0.71 Goals Conceded 0.75
57% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayer Leverkusen

(Home)
25 Jul
Kickers Offenbach
1 : 3
Bayer Leverkusen
18 Jul
Baumberg
0 : 7
Bayer Leverkusen
16 May
Bayer Leverkusen
1 : 1
Hamburger
09 May
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1
Bayer Leverkusen
02 May
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 1
RB Leipzig
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Genk

(Away)
22 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
4 : 0
Genk
18 Jul
Falkirk
1 : 0
Genk
17 Jul
Motherwell
3 : 4
Genk
11 Jul
Sittard
2 : 1
Genk
08 Jul
Genk
2 : 1
SK Beveren
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