Sport Picks
Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Bundesliga BayArena, Leverkusen 
Match Events
11'
11'
Nusa A.
26'
26'
Sub
Gruda B. In: Gomis T.
Out: Gruda B.
34'
34'
Nkunku C.
AI Match Summary
The Bundesliga game between Bayer Leverkusen and RB Leipzig finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bayer Leverkusen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayer Leverkusen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Bayer Leverkusen come out ahead of RB Leipzig on wins alone.
- 53% — that's where the model lands on Bayer Leverkusen taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Bayer Leverkusen Clean Sheet 14%
RB Leipzig Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bayer Leverkusen | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.19 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig
2:0
May 2, 2026 Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig
4:1
Dec 20, 2025 Bundesliga
RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen
1:3
Jan 25, 2025 Bundesliga
RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen
2:2
Aug 31, 2024 Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bayer Leverkusen Compare
Top Goalscorer Schick P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gutierrez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
RB Leipzig Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bayer Leverkusen 57 / 100
RB Leipzig 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bayer Leverkusen RB Leipzig
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bayer Leverkusen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bayer Leverkusen scored in 90% of their last 31 games.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
RB Leipzig's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.
Solid form: Bayer Leverkusen remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Bayer Leverkusen VS RB Leipzig
2.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Bayer Leverkusen
(Home) 20 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0 RB Leipzig
16 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0 Celje
12 Sept
Augsburg
2 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen
05 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0 Union Berlin
29 Aug
Elversberg
3 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0 RB Leipzig
16 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0 Celje
05 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0 Union Berlin
08 Aug
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 1 Sevilla
01 Aug
Bayer Leverkusen
3 : 0 RW Essen
Page 1 of 3
RB Leipzig
(Away) 20 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0 RB Leipzig
13 Sept
RB Leipzig
5 : 0 Hamburger
10 Sept
Como
4 : 1 RB Leipzig
05 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 1 RB Leipzig
29 Aug
RB Leipzig
3 : 0 B. Monchengladbach
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0 RB Leipzig
10 Sept
Como
4 : 1 RB Leipzig
05 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 1 RB Leipzig
22 Aug
Eintracht Trier
0 : 6 RB Leipzig
15 Aug
Bayern Munich
3 : 1 RB Leipzig
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 7 |
| 6 | Mainz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 7 |
| 7 | Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:10 | 5 |
| 11 | Schalke | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 12 | Paderborn | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Koln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:13 | 3 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:17 | 1 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
