Sport Picks

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Bayer Leverkusen vs RW Essen

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Maza I.
23' Event
Schick P.
(Penalty)
30'
Swajkowski G.

AI Match Summary

Bayer Leverkusen in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bayer Leverkusen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Bayer Leverkusen
30%
Draws
37%
RW Essen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: RW Essen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Bayer Leverkusen haven't matched RW Essen's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bayer Leverkusen a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Bayer Leverkusen have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Bayer Leverkusen Clean Sheet 68%
RW Essen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayer Leverkusen RW Essen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 18
Draws 8 2
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.21 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Bayer Leverkusen vs RW Essen
3:0
Jul 26, 2024 Club Friendly
RW Essen vs Bayer Leverkusen
1:2
Feb 2, 2021 DFB Pokal
RW Essen vs Bayer Leverkusen
2:1
Sep 1, 2002 DFB Pokal
RW Essen vs Bayer Leverkusen
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayer Leverkusen Compare

Top Goalscorer Maza I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Culbreath M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

RW Essen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayer Leverkusen 77 / 100
RW Essen 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayer Leverkusen RW Essen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayer Leverkusen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayer Leverkusen's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

RW Essen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Bayer Leverkusen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bayer Leverkusen VS RW Essen
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayer Leverkusen

(Home)
20 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0
RB Leipzig
16 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0
Celje
12 Sept
Augsburg
2 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen
05 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0
Union Berlin
29 Aug
Elversberg
3 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen
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RW Essen

(Away)
20 Sept
RW Essen
1 : 1
Hansa Rostock
16 Sept
Mannheim
1 : 2
RW Essen
12 Sept
RW Essen
6 : 2
Wurzburger Kickers
05 Sept
RW Essen
1 : 0
FC Viktoria Koln
29 Aug
Wehen
0 : 0
RW Essen
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