Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bayer Leverkusen W vs Freiburg W

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 Ulrich-Haberland-Stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Piljic K.
9' Event
Gonzalez E.
Assist: Fudalla V.
33'
Schneider M.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 game between Bayer Leverkusen W and Freiburg W finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bayer Leverkusen W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bayer Leverkusen W
6%
Draws
4%
Freiburg W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bayer Leverkusen W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Freiburg W haven't matched Bayer Leverkusen W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bayer Leverkusen W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Bayer Leverkusen W Clean Sheet 18%
Freiburg W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayer Leverkusen W Freiburg W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 19 13
Draws 1 3
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 2.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Freiburg W
4:1
Nov 10, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
2:1
Jan 26, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
1:2
Dec 14, 2024 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Freiburg W
2:0
Mar 10, 2024 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayer Leverkusen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Piljic K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Freiburg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bienz A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayer Leverkusen W 85 / 100
Freiburg W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayer Leverkusen W Freiburg W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayer Leverkusen W found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Freiburg W has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Bayer Leverkusen W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bayer Leverkusen W VS Freiburg W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bayern Munich W26242090:974
2Wolfsburg W26184472:3858
3Eintracht Frankfurt W26163765:4351
4Hoffenheim W26144848:3046
5Bayer Leverkusen W261511046:3646
6Werder Bremen W26127742:3643
7Koln W261141136:3737
8Freiburg W261041244:4634
9Union Berlin W26861242:5130
10RB Leipzig W26771239:4828
111.FC Nurnberg W26641633:6122
12Hamburger W26461626:5718
13SGS Essen W26371622:6316
14Carl Zeiss Jena W26251922:7211