Sport Picks
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Freiburg W Prediction & H2H Stats
Germany
Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 Ulrich-Haberland-Stadion, Leverkusen 
Match Events
4'
4'
Piljic K.
9'
9'
Gonzalez E.
Assist: Fudalla V.
33'
33'
Schneider M.
AI Match Summary
The Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 game between Bayer Leverkusen W and Freiburg W finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bayer Leverkusen W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayer Leverkusen W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Freiburg W haven't matched Bayer Leverkusen W's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Bayer Leverkusen W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Bayer Leverkusen W Clean Sheet 12%
Freiburg W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bayer Leverkusen W | Freiburg W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 21 | 15 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.32 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
1:2
Apr 26, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Freiburg W
4:1
Nov 10, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
2:1
Jan 26, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
1:2
Dec 14, 2024 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Freiburg W
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bayer Leverkusen W Compare
Top Goalscorer Piljic K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gonzalez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Freiburg W Compare
Top Goalscorer Bienz A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bayer Leverkusen W 29 / 100
Freiburg W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bayer Leverkusen W Freiburg W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bayer Leverkusen W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Bayer Leverkusen W scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Freiburg W has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.
Bayer Leverkusen W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Bayer Leverkusen W VS Freiburg W
3 Goals Scored 2.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Bayer Leverkusen W
(Home) 02 Oct
Bayer Leverkusen W
3 : 2 Werder Bremen W
27 Sept
Viktoria Berlin W
0 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen W
20 Sept
Freiburg W
1 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen W
14 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen W
2 : 3 Bayern Munich W
04 Sept
Hoffenheim W
1 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen W
Page 1 of 7
02 Oct
Bayer Leverkusen W
3 : 2 Werder Bremen W
14 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen W
2 : 3 Bayern Munich W
30 Aug
Bayer Leverkusen W
1 : 2 Wolfsburg W
08 Aug
Bayer Leverkusen W
7 : 0 Feyenoord W
01 Aug
Bayer Leverkusen W
1 : 0 Genk W
Page 1 of 4
Freiburg W
(Away) 03 Oct
Koln W
0 : 1 Freiburg W
26 Sept
Andernach W
1 : 2 Freiburg W
20 Sept
Freiburg W
1 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen W
13 Sept
Freiburg W
3 : 0 Mainz W
06 Sept
Bayern Munich W
4 : 1 Freiburg W
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Koln W
0 : 1 Freiburg W
26 Sept
Andernach W
1 : 2 Freiburg W
06 Sept
Bayern Munich W
4 : 1 Freiburg W
23 Aug
Hamburger W
1 : 1 Freiburg W
28 Jul
Zurich W
0 : 7 Freiburg W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 26 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 90:9 | 74 |
| 2 | Wolfsburg W | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 72:38 | 58 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 65:43 | 51 |
| 4 | Hoffenheim W | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 48:30 | 46 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 26 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 46:36 | 46 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen W | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 42:36 | 43 |
| 7 | Koln W | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 36:37 | 37 |
| 8 | Freiburg W | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 44:46 | 34 |
| 9 | Union Berlin W | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42:51 | 30 |
| 10 | RB Leipzig W | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 39:48 | 28 |
| 11 | 1.FC Nurnberg W | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 33:61 | 22 |
| 12 | Hamburger W | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 26:57 | 18 |
| 13 | SGS Essen W | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22:63 | 16 |
| 14 | Carl Zeiss Jena W | 26 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 22:72 | 11 |
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women (Main)
