Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bayer Leverkusen W vs Koln W

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 Ulrich-Haberland-Stadion, Leverkusen
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Fudalla V.
37' Event
Zdebel S.
46'
Sub
Piljic K. In: Vidal J.
Out: Piljic K.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 game between Bayer Leverkusen W and Koln W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bayer Leverkusen W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Bayer Leverkusen W
15%
Draws
42%
Koln W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayer Leverkusen W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bayer Leverkusen W come out ahead of Koln W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bayer Leverkusen W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bayer Leverkusen W Clean Sheet 14%
Koln W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayer Leverkusen W Koln W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 16
Draws 0 3
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.2 1.86
Goals Conceded 1 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Koln W
2:1
Oct 16, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Koln W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
2:2
Apr 14, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Koln W
1:1
Nov 1, 2024 Bundesliga Women
Koln W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
1:2
Mar 18, 2024 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Koln W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayer Leverkusen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fudalla V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zdebel S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Koln W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bremer P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayer Leverkusen W 84 / 100
Koln W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayer Leverkusen W Koln W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayer Leverkusen W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayer Leverkusen W's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Koln W conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Bayer Leverkusen W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bayer Leverkusen W VS Koln W
3.25 Goals Scored 2.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayer Leverkusen W

(Home)
04 Sept
Hoffenheim W
1 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen W
30 Aug
Bayer Leverkusen W
1 : 2
Wolfsburg W
23 Aug
RB Leipzig W
0 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen W
15 Aug
Standard Liege W
0 : 7
Bayer Leverkusen W
08 Aug
Bayer Leverkusen W
7 : 0
Feyenoord W
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Koln W

(Away)
05 Sept
Mainz W
0 : 4
Koln W
28 Aug
Koln W
1 : 0
Hoffenheim W
22 Aug
Eintracht Frankfurt W
2 : 0
Koln W
15 Aug
Koln W
2 : 1
Leuven W
08 Aug
Koln W
5 : 1
Twente W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich W 26 24 2 0 90:9 74
2 Wolfsburg W 26 18 4 4 72:38 58
3 Eintracht Frankfurt W 26 16 3 7 65:43 51
4 Hoffenheim W 26 14 4 8 48:30 46
5 Bayer Leverkusen W 26 15 1 10 46:36 46
6 Werder Bremen W 26 12 7 7 42:36 43
7 Koln W 26 11 4 11 36:37 37
8 Freiburg W 26 10 4 12 44:46 34
9 Union Berlin W 26 8 6 12 42:51 30
10 RB Leipzig W 26 7 7 12 39:48 28
11 1.FC Nurnberg W 26 6 4 16 33:61 22
12 Hamburger W 26 4 6 16 26:57 18
13 SGS Essen W 26 3 7 16 22:63 16
14 Carl Zeiss Jena W 26 2 5 19 22:72 11
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women (Main)