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Bayern Hof vs ATSV Erlangen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bayern Hof play ATSV Erlangen in the Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bayern Hof averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. ATSV Erlangen averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Bayern Hof won 2, ATSV Erlangen won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Bayern Hof and 1.19 for ATSV Erlangen. This points to a Bayern Hof double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Bayern Hof
24%
Draws
30%
ATSV Erlangen
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Bayern Hof

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Bayern Hof picked up more points recently compared to ATSV Erlangen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Bayern Hof Clean Sheet 20%
ATSV Erlangen Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayern Hof ATSV Erlangen
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.86 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ATSV Erlangen vs Bayern Hof
3:3
Nov 1, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Bayern Hof vs ATSV Erlangen
2:0
Mar 21, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ATSV Erlangen vs Bayern Hof
0:2
Aug 31, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Bayern Hof vs ATSV Erlangen
0:1
Apr 9, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Bayern Hof vs ATSV Erlangen
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayern Hof 45 / 100
ATSV Erlangen 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayern Hof ATSV Erlangen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bayern Hof or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bayern Hof attacking → ← attacking ATSV Erlangen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayern Hof scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

ATSV Erlangen let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Bayern Hof went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

ATSV Erlangen lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 27
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Eltersdorf32212955:3065
2Cham32178758:3559
3ASV Neumarkt32185968:5059
4Gebenbach321651153:4753
5Bamberg321312754:3951
6Weiden321311857:3950
7Ingolstadt II321461264:5448
8Fortuna Regensburg321291166:5845
9Regensburg II321351459:5344
10Bayern Hof3211101156:5143
11Neudrossenfeld321251547:5441
12TSV Kornburg329131048:5040
13Wurzburger FV321071546:6237
14ATSV Erlangen321071543:6137
15Stadeln321121942:6535
16Coburg32932044:8130
17Grossschwarzenlohe32482035:6620