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Stadium Background

Bayern Munich II W vs Mainz W

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Terakaj E.
20' Event
Anstatt N.
33'
Imai Y.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 game between Bayern Munich II W and Mainz W finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mainz W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Bayern Munich II W
6%
Draws
90%
Mainz W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mainz W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mainz W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mainz W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 2. Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Bayern Munich II W Clean Sheet 10%
Mainz W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayern Munich II W Mainz W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 18
Draws 3 4
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 0.88 4.13
Goals Conceded 2.75 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 4.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 2. Bundesliga Women
Mainz W vs Bayern Munich II W
6:0
Oct 19, 2025 2. Bundesliga Women
Bayern Munich II W vs Mainz W
1:4
May 13, 2018 2. Bundesliga Women
Bayern Munich II W vs Mainz W
6:1
Feb 11, 2018 2. Bundesliga Women
Mainz W vs Bayern Munich II W
0:6
Apr 2, 2017 2. Bundesliga Women
Mainz W vs Bayern Munich II W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayern Munich II W Compare

Top Goalscorer Terakaj E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Mainz W Compare

Top Goalscorer Anstatt N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kats V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.75
Avg xA / game 2.29

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayern Munich II W 10 / 100
Mainz W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayern Munich II W Mainz W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.60 goals when they meet.

Bayern Munich II W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Mainz W has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Bayern Munich II W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bayern Munich II W VS Mainz W
0.88 Goals Scored 4.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1VfB Stuttgart W26177281:3358
2Mainz W26174577:2955
3SC Sand W26165553:2653
4Meppen W26154756:2649
5Viktoria Berlin W26129541:2045
6Andernach W26108846:4438
7Ingolstadt W261221245:4838
8Eintracht Frankfurt II W26961138:3833
9Bochum W26951233:4032
10B. Monchengladbach W26941339:5331
11Potsdam W26931437:5030
12Bayern Munich II W26831540:6427
13Wolfsburg II W26611938:7519
14VfR Warbeyen W26132221:996