Sport Picks
Bayern Munich vs Dortmund - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Bundesliga Allianz Arena, Munich 
AI Match Summary
Bayern Munich host Dortmund in the Bundesliga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Bayern Munich have averaged 3.39 scored and 1.31 conceded recently, against Dortmund's 1.86 scored and 1.21 conceded. Past meetings favor Bayern Munich slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (2.25 xG vs 1.56) point toward Bayern Munich. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Bayern Munich have won more games recently than Dortmund.
- Model gives Bayern Munich a 38% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bayern Munich | Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 29 |
| Wins | 26 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 3.39 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bayern Munich's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 36 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Bayern Munich has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Dortmund has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Bayern Munich
(Home)Dortmund
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 22:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:8 | 10 |
| 5 | Mainz | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 6 | Elversberg | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 10 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16:11 | 9 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 9 | Hamburger | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:15 | 9 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 8 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 12 | 1. FC Koln | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 13 | VfB Stuttgart | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 14 | Schalke | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 5 |
| 15 | Paderborn | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:17 | 5 |
| 17 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9:13 | 3 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:18 | 0 |
