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Bayern Munich vs Magdeburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

DFB Pokal Allianz Arena, Munich
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 5-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Bayern Munich at 3.77 goals for, 1.29 against; Magdeburg at 2 for, 1.48 against. Past meetings favor Bayern Munich slightly — 3-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 29, 2009, ending 2:3. xG projections (2.13 - 1.13) back Bayern Munich to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Bayern Munich
35%
Draws
28%
Magdeburg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bayern Munich

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Bayern Munich have won more games recently than Magdeburg.
  • Bayern Munich are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Bayern Munich have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bayern Munich, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Bayern Munich have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Bayern Munich Clean Sheet 68%
Magdeburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayern Munich Magdeburg
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 23 13
Draws 6 3
Losses 2 11
Goals Scored 3.77 2
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2009 Club Friendly
Magdeburg vs Bayern Munich
2:3
Oct 31, 2000 DFB Pokal
Magdeburg vs Bayern Munich
5:3
Nov 6, 1974 Champions League
Magdeburg vs Bayern Munich
1:2
Oct 23, 1974 Champions League
Bayern Munich vs Magdeburg
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayern Munich 68 / 100
Magdeburg 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayern Munich Magdeburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayern Munich Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bayern Munich scored in 97% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.25 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Bayern Munich stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Magdeburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bayern Munich VS Magdeburg
3.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayern Munich

(Home)
21 Oct
Bayern Munich
2 : 2
Arsenal
17 Oct
Bayern Munich
6 : 1
RB Leipzig
13 Oct
Viking
3 : 3
Bayern Munich
10 Oct
Augsburg
2 : 2
Bayern Munich
18 Sept
Bayern Munich
7 : 0
Union Berlin
Page 1 of 7

Magdeburg

(Away)
18 Oct
Dresden
2 : 0
Magdeburg
10 Oct
Magdeburg
3 : 0
Hannover
18 Sept
Greuther Furth
1 : 1
Magdeburg
12 Sept
Magdeburg
3 : 0
Kaiserslautern
06 Sept
Hertha Berlin
2 : 1
Magdeburg
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sonnenhof Grossaspach 3
Arminia Bielefeld 2
Energie Cottbus 0
Augsburg 2
Jeddeloh 5
Heidenheim 2
Saarbrucken 1
Hertha Berlin 2
RW Essen 2
St. Pauli 0
Eintracht Trier 0
RB Leipzig 6
Wurzburger Kickers 1
1. FC Koln 2
Braunschweig 2
Union Berlin 4
Westfalia Rhynern 0
Dresden 6
Hallescher 2
Schalke 5
HEBC Hamburg 0
Dortmund 5
Luneburger Hansa 0
Werder Bremen 3
Greuther Furth 1
Bochum 2
Krieschow 0
Mainz 9
Verl 0
Hamburger 3
SC St.Tonis 0
Eintracht Frankfurt 11
Schott Mainz 0
B. Monchengladbach 5
Preussen Munster 1
Karlsruher 2
Munich 1860 0
Holstein Kiel 2
Aue 0
Hoffenheim 4
Wehen 0
Bayer Leverkusen 4
FC Viktoria Koln 1
Nurnberg 2
Hemelingen 1
Hannover 9
Mannheim 0
Kaiserslautern 1
Phonix Lubeck 2
Paderborn 4
Hansa Rostock 0
VfB Stuttgart 4
Dusseldorf 1
Freiburg 5
Altglienicke 3
Wolfsburg 4
Duisburg 1
Elversberg 3
Jena 1
Darmstadt 2
VfL Osnabruck 1
Bayern Munich 4
Bahlinger 0
Magdeburg 4
1/16-finals
Sonnenhof Grossaspach -
Augsburg -
Jeddeloh -
Hertha Berlin -
RW Essen -
RB Leipzig -
1. FC Koln -
Union Berlin -
Dresden -
Schalke -
Dortmund -
Werder Bremen -
Bochum -
Mainz -
Hamburger -
Eintracht Frankfurt -
B. Monchengladbach -
Karlsruher -
Holstein Kiel -
Hoffenheim -
Bayer Leverkusen -
Nurnberg -
Hannover -
Kaiserslautern -
Paderborn -
VfB Stuttgart -
Freiburg -
Wolfsburg -
Elversberg -
Darmstadt -
Bayern Munich -
Magdeburg -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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