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Bayonne vs Bordeaux Prediction & H2H Stats

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Saintorens A.
41' Event
Odru G.
48' Event
Villette M.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 game between Bayonne and Bordeaux finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bordeaux.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Bayonne
20%
Draws
45%
Bordeaux
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bordeaux

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Bayonne haven't matched Bordeaux's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Bordeaux here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Bayonne Clean Sheet 11%
Bordeaux Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayonne Bordeaux
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 20
Draws 3 4
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.47 1.77
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Bayonne vs Bordeaux
1:2
Jan 10, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Bordeaux vs Bayonne
1:0
Jan 23, 2004 Coupe de France
Bayonne vs Bordeaux
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayonne Compare

Top Goalscorer Saintorens A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bordeaux Compare

Top Goalscorer Odru G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Villette M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayonne 30 / 100
Bordeaux 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayonne Bordeaux

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bayonne scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Bordeaux has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Bayonne has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bayonne VS Bordeaux
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 83%
13% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayonne

(Home)
02 Oct
Bayonne
0 : 1
Les Herbiers
18 Sept
Angouleme CFC
2 : 2
Bayonne
11 Sept
Bayonne
2 : 1
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
05 Sept
Lorient II
0 : 1
Bayonne
29 Aug
Bayonne
1 : 0
Saumur Olympique
Page 1 of 6

Bordeaux

(Away)
16 May
Avranches
3 : 3
Bordeaux
09 May
Bordeaux
1 : 0
Les Herbiers
02 May
Bayonne
1 : 2
Bordeaux
25 Apr
Bordeaux
4 : 1
Montlouis
18 Apr
Dinan
1 : 3
Bordeaux
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
2 Bordeaux 30 19 5 6 51:28 62
3 Bayonne 30 17 4 9 42:27 55
4 Saint-Malo 30 13 11 6 43:29 50
5 Les Herbiers 30 14 7 9 45:33 49
6 Angouleme CFC 30 11 10 9 33:36 43
7 Dinan 30 12 5 13 44:45 41
8 Avranches 30 10 10 10 46:41 40
9 Chauray 30 11 5 14 35:38 38
10 St. Colomban Locmine 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
11 Montlouis 30 7 10 13 42:50 31
12 Lorient II 30 9 5 16 38:51 31
13 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 8 6 16 25:47 30
14 Granville 30 6 11 13 32:41 29
15 Saumur Olympique 30 6 10 14 37:56 28
16 Stade Poitevin 30 5 11 14 21:43 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)