Sport Picks

France

National 2 - Group A

Bordeaux

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bayonne play Bordeaux in the National 2 - Group A. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bayonne averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1 conceded. Bordeaux averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Bayonne won 1, Bordeaux won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Bayonne and 1.25 for Bordeaux. This points to a Bordeaux double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Bayonne

15%

Draws

47%

Bordeaux

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bordeaux

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Bayonne picked up more points recently compared to Bordeaux.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 50%

Over 3.5 Goals 30%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Bayonne Clean Sheet 19%

Bordeaux Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bayonne	Bordeaux
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	16	20
Draws	3	4
Losses	10	6
Goals Scored	1.38	1.77
Goals Conceded	1	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 National 2 - Group A

Bayonne vs Bordeaux

Possession: 42% - 53% Cards: 3 - 4

1:2

Jan 10, 2026 National 2 - Group A

Bordeaux vs Bayonne

Possession: 55% - 41% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Jan 23, 2004 Coupe de France

Bayonne vs Bordeaux

Possession: 52% - 55% Cards: 4 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayonne Compare

Top Goalscorer Saintorens A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Bordeaux Compare

Top Goalscorer Odru G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Villette M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayonne 38 / 100

Bordeaux 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bayonne Bordeaux

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bordeaux or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.5%

2.27

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bayonne attacking → ← attacking Bordeaux

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayonne scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Bordeaux let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Bayonne went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bordeaux lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 64

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	La Roche Vendee	30	19	8	3	61:27	65
2	Bordeaux	30	19	5	6	51:28	62
3	Bayonne	30	17	4	9	42:27	55
4	Saint-Malo	30	13	11	6	43:29	50
5	Les Herbiers	30	14	7	9	45:33	49
6	Angouleme CFC	30	11	10	9	33:36	43
7	Dinan	30	12	5	13	44:45	41
8	Avranches	30	10	10	10	46:41	40
9	Chauray	30	11	5	14	35:38	38
10	St. Colomban Locmine	30	9	10	11	31:34	37
11	Montlouis	30	7	10	13	42:50	31
12	Lorient II	30	9	5	16	38:51	31
13	Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant	30	8	6	16	25:47	30
14	Granville	30	6	11	13	32:41	29
15	Saumur Olympique	30	6	10	14	37:56	28
16	Stade Poitevin	30	5	11	14	21:43	25