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Bayreuth vs Erlangen

World World

Club Friendly
Tue, Jan 27, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bayreuth host Erlangen in the Club Friendly. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Bayreuth at 2.03 goals for, 1.47 against; Erlangen at 1.34 for, 2.21 against. Past meetings favor Bayreuth slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 27, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 0.94) point toward Bayreuth. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bayreuth
15%
Draws
34%
Erlangen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayreuth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Erlangen haven't matched Bayreuth's recent run of results.
  • Bayreuth are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bayreuth have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Bayreuth Clean Sheet 20%
Erlangen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayreuth Erlangen
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 2.03 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Bayreuth vs Erlangen
0:0
Mar 21, 2014 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Bayreuth vs Erlangen
3:1
Aug 25, 2013 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Erlangen vs Bayreuth
0:3
Apr 28, 2013 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Erlangen vs Bayreuth
1:3
Sep 29, 2012 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Bayreuth vs Erlangen
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayreuth 85 / 100
Erlangen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayreuth Erlangen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayreuth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bayreuth scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Erlangen let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Erlangen registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bayreuth VS Erlangen
3.38 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayreuth

(Home)
25 Sept
Eltersdorf
2 : 4
Bayreuth
19 Sept
Bayreuth
0 : 2
Unterhaching
15 Sept
Bayreuth
1 : 0
TSV Aubstadt
12 Sept
Ansbach
1 : 0
Bayreuth
04 Sept
Bayreuth
2 : 4
Burghausen
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Erlangen

(Away)
02 Jul
Erlangen
1 : 1
Ansbach
14 Feb
Stadeln
1 : 3
Erlangen
17 Feb
Ansbach
5 : 1
Erlangen
25 Jan
Furth II
6 : 0
Erlangen
21 Aug
Eltersdorf
3 : 0
Erlangen
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